April 30, 2006

Good luck!

Good luck to Warren Kinsella and his new venture at Daisy Consulting.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:25 PM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 16 words, total size 1 kb.

The Canadian group-think?

I hate it when I read this:

Canadian voters gave Stephen Harper a cautious go ahead Monday to form a slim minority Conservative government, handing him groundbreaking support in Quebec and more clout in Ontario as they sent Paul Martin into retirement as Liberal leader and Grit MPs to the benches of the official Opposition.

That quote came from election night, but the notion that Canadians somehow contrived to deliver the Conservatives a "tryout" is nonsense that continues to be repeated. I recall Andrew Coyne making this point in an interview once (perhaps in print as well -- I want credit to go where credit is due). Every Canadian who voted for a Conservative MP on the basis of party affiliation wanted the Conservatives to win a majority. The same goes for voters for other parties. There is no communication or collusion.

There is nothing "cautious" about the vote.

Anthropomorphizing the electorate is poetic nonsense.

The reason I bring it up because another variant of this fallacy comes up often:

That’s why fully 64% of Canadians voted in the last election for parties who supported a national early learning and child care program.

See, the Conservatives won the most votes, but can't implement their program, because when you break down the platforms, the majority of the people votes for various parties that had similar (but not identical) programs.

Again, piffle!

We don't know what each voter was thinking when they voted. Indeed, the fact that the Liberals, who had the actually implemented a nationalized daycare program (sort of), were defeated suggests that nationalized daycare was not the single most important thing on voters minds.

The fact that the programs of these other parties were different from each other as well as different from the Conservative program is conveniently ignored. So is the fact that most people voted for the Conservative variant.

The whole point of having parties is to give the electorate a set of distinct choices. After the vote, the winning party is assumed to have a platform that resonated with the majority of voters. Not a perfect fit, but then what is? And then we have elections regularly so parties can refine their platforms. If you then start to rewrite the winning platform to conform to the losing platform based on some sort of numerical breakdown of voting patterns coupled with assumptions of what that breakdown says about the electorate group-think, then why bother having elections? Just run polls, and hand the results directly to professional full-time bureaucrats to implement.

That is logical conclusion of that sort of thinking.

Or should I say "group-thinking"?

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:22 PM | Comments (15) | Add Comment
Post contains 442 words, total size 3 kb.

The cost of delusions

Decent bit of political analysis on rabble from Universty of Winnipeg professor John Ryan, but only if you skip the delusional bits:

Jack Layton's latest pronouncements and actions show that he's already partially in bed with Stephen Harper, and it looks as if he wants to co-habit with him for the duration of this Parliament.

Also Layton has made it clear that the NDP is going to have an all-out fight with the Liberals in the next election, in the hopes of replacing the Liberals as the official opposition. This is sheer delusion, and dangerous delusion for both Canada and the NDP.

Of course, I take issue with the notion that something that is dangerous for the NDP is dangerous for Canada. I do that not because of my politics but on the basis of what I see as a poor logical construction. He argues that the NDP is delusional and makes a logical next deduction that being in a delusional state is dangerous to the NDP. But it's his politics, not his reason, that equates something that is dangerous to the NDP as dangerous to Canada. He mixes the eminently logical and the purely partisan in the same sentence.

It's the little things that transform what could be a good bit of political analysis into partisan propoganda. But it's not the only example of Ryan mixing his opinions, or even delusions, with facts or good logic.

A Conservative majority is one outcome, but it could also be destructive to the NDP. If the Liberals should get a reasonably good leader, say Ontario MPP Gerard Kennedy, this NDP strategy could lead them to a repeat of 1993, where from 43 seats the NDP were reduced to nine - and the Conservatives might still get a majority if they capture Quebec.

The NDP federal leadership seems oblivious to the fact that their current strategy is demoralizing to many in the party and to progressive-minded people in the public at large. It should come as no surprise that a continuation of these policies will result in fewer monetary contributions to the party and in a loss of votes. A recent poll has already shown a slide to 14 per cent from their 17.5 per cent share of the vote in the 2006 election.

Interesting that in his analysis, Ryan sees only the Conservatives and the Liberals as rivals to the NDP. I think that if Ryan is right, that NDP supporters are demoralized, that other left-wing parties, in particular the Greens, are in a position to draw the people away. In other words, the danger is really that the NDP is pushing supporters away while simultaneously there are alternative leftist parties that are pulling them away. Being blind to that fact compounds the problems for the NDP, who might be thinking, incorrectly, that they are the default party for leftists.

It seems that the NDP doesn't have any vision for this country or any articulated policy, other than getting additional seats in Parliament - hence the attack on the Liberals. Bluntly, this appears to be a stupid short-sighted policy, with no regard for Canada, or even for themselves.

Having a vision for Canada has not translated into a federal NDP government. Playing the politics game has not translated into a federal NDP government. Now if you were an idealist, which problem would you prefer to discuss? The second, of course. To me, the NDP is chock full of vision -- at least no more or less than the other parties. But for an NDP supporter, admission that the NDP vision is a political dead-end is horrifying. Better to insist that the problem is that the policies have not been explained properly, that there is a lack of vision. Much more comforting.

Another bit of willful blindness.

With most of the corporate elite and the owners of the media behind Harper - carefully grooming his image - and with the NDP fighting the Liberals, it's almost a certainty that the Conservatives will get a majority in the next election.

Of course, it is the standard complaint of the loser that the media was against him. Every party is guilty of that at one time or another, and every party can point to example after example to prove their case. For what it's worth, I've pointed out several occassions during the last election in which the CBC and other traditionally liberal media outlets were particularly supportive of the Conservatives, before it became clear that the Conservatives were going to win. I was taken to task by some readers for doing so, called naive for thinking the media was fairer than most people assumed. But blaming the media is a crutch. It's fine to blame them in a moment of frustration, but when the moment passes, you had better be over it.

Ryan seems to be not quite past the frustration stage.

But seriously, with all the hubbub about Stephen Harper's fight with the national press gallery over access, is it likely that the "corporate elite" is grooming Harper? What media owner trying to run a profitable paper would advise Harper not to talk to his reporters?

So Ryan can assume the NDP is indispensable to Canada's survival, he can ignore the Greens as a threat, he can blame the NDP communication people for not communicating enough vision, he can berate the media for being manifestly pro-Conservative -- but at the end of the day, voters know what the NDP stands for. The vast majority of the time they can guess what the NDP would say about any issue. The trick to do so is easy. Imagine that you work for a living (the NDP is focused on "working families"). Consider the issue and your opinion. Given that at the last election, the NDP garnered 17.5% of the popular vote (and that margin has eroded since then), you can bet whatever you think of that issue, there is a better than 80% chance that the NDP position is different.

OK, that was a bit glib. But the numbers are the numbers.

The lies that Ryan and the NDP tell themselves will not change those numbers, except to drive them lower.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 09:36 PM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 1043 words, total size 6 kb.

April 29, 2006

NDP continues to kick the Liberals, even at the cost of praising George W Bush

It's not too often that Jack Layton and the NDP would have something nice to say about George W Bush. Well, I would have said never. But then it shows the seriousness of the divide between the Liberals and the NDP that is going to help keep the Conservatives in power for years to come:

Hon. Jack Layton (Toronto—Danforth, NDP): Mr. Speaker, 13 years ago the Liberals promised to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20%. Instead, they went up by 24% or more. Even George Bush had a better record in dealing with pollution than the previous government.

In the throne speech the government has stated:

It will take measures to achieve tangible improvements in our environment, including reductions in pollution and greenhouse gas emissions.

My question for the Prime Minister is simply this. How is cutting the funding for climate change initiatives going to get us toward the commitment that was made in the Speech from the Throne?

Right Hon. Stephen Harper (Prime Minister, CPC): Mr. Speaker, I was wondering how many questions it would take before the leader of the NDP mentioned George Bush.

In any case, the way we are going to get toward a new climate change program is making sure we have the funds available, that the funds are taken from programs that are not working and not effective and are put toward those that will result in the reduction of greenhouse gases.

Well, the president got mentioned, and with some praise! Jack Layton said that the environmentalists are better off living in the United States under George W Bush and the Republicans than in Canada under Paul Martin and the Liberals.

Phrased like that, Stephen Harper doesn't have to say much more than what he did -- we'll be better than the Liberals. Next question.

Actually, the next question just continues with the free-for-all on the Liberals:

Hon. Jack Layton (Toronto—Danforth, NDP): Mr. Speaker, thanks to the Liberal Party, Canada has dropped from leader to environmental delinquent. The OECD considers Canada one of the world's worst polluters. The result is that our children and seniors are suffering from asthma because of year round smog.

Will this government do as little and be as timid as the Liberals?

If not, where is the Prime Minister's plan to ensure families have pure air?

Right Hon. Stephen Harper (Prime Minister, CPC): Mr. Speaker, I agree with the leader of the NDP that the previous government failed. In fact it did not resolve either the problems of greenhouse gases or those of pollution. This is why we are making policy and financial changes as we develop a new plan.

With all the criticism aimed at the Liberals, Stephen Harper can afford to sound reasonable. You're absolutely right, Jack, in your analysis of the situation. We'll do better. Thanks for asking and for contributing so constructively to Question Period.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 01:42 PM | Comments (45) | Add Comment
Post contains 510 words, total size 3 kb.

It's a big deal

The "Stephen Harper Eats Babies" incident might seem amusing, and if you're not sure what I'm talking about, read the details and consider getting in touch with the people involved to demand some action.

more...

Posted by: Steve Janke at 12:30 PM | Comments (11) | Add Comment
Post contains 272 words, total size 2 kb.

A captive audience

A strange experience for riders of the GO train out of Toronto. Vandalism goes high-tech.

more...

Posted by: Steve Janke at 12:02 PM | Comments (4) | Add Comment
Post contains 444 words, total size 4 kb.

April 25, 2006

A question of qualifications

Being a member of the governing party is not a disqualification.

Read that again.

Being a member of the governing party is not a disqualification.

One more time.

Being a member of the governing party is not a disqualification.

There is a problem when membership in the governing party is the only qualification.

See the difference? If not, we have an example to study that helps highlight the difference.

more...

Posted by: Steve Janke at 12:07 PM | Comments (48) | Add Comment
Post contains 928 words, total size 7 kb.

If you have to ask...

An odious comment from Canada's far left on the death of four Canadian soldiers in Afghanistan, posted on the message board of Canada's premier leftie website, rabble.ca:

Well I got news for you--4 dead and 2200 to go--

and I hope 'they die and die like flies' as Nina Simone might say...

Not a unique comment -- there are several people on this thread hoping for the deaths of Canadian soldiers, either as a way of ending the mission in Afghanistan, or to punish them for being part of the imperial war machine, or for Iraq, or Vietnam, or something.

Well, hoping for Canadian soldiers to die has earned these people the sternest response possible from a fellow leftie and board moderator:

What appeared to start off as a link to a news article has turned into a stupid and offensive slugfest. Neither Wilfred Owen, nor Horace from whom he borrowed would be impressed.

This has come up before, and I am NOT comfortable with the suggestion that harm coming to soldiers from Canada or anyone else would be a desireable thing.

As an interem [sic] moderator, I'm reluctant to start suspending people, so I'm closing this thread as it's going nowhere good, and will consult with my colleague on policy regarding wishing for soldiers to come to harm.

You can tell the moderator is angry because he capitalized "NOT" when describing his discomfort at people wishing for Canadian deaths. That indicates a great deal of discomfort. Like being forced to sit on a really lumpy couch, I suppose. You know, really uncomfortable.

But now the hammer comes down. Maybe. Once he discusses the issue with a colleague. To check on policy. I mean, there must be a policy to justify suspending people who hope Canadian soldiers die. It's not like common sense applies. Maybe they'll have to sit down and study the policy manuals very carefully to see if there is a rule against Canadian leftists hoping for Canadian deaths, even if those deaths promote a neo-Marxist transnational progressive position.

Let's hope he's not forced to sit on a lumpy couch while having this debate. He's uncomfortable enough as it is.

By the way, if you're curious about the "interem [sic] moderator" thing, it is because the long-time moderator, Audra Williams, was canned by the rabble management committee because of a delinquent timesheet. Needless to say, Williams is not happy, nor are many babblers. Senior rabble contributers like Scott Piatkowski are pulling away from their association with rabble.ca. Some people are so upset with Judy Rebick's heavy-handedness that they started a new babble-like leftist forum as a strike action, which is draining traffic away from rabble. One fan went as far as to create this virtual shrine to Williams. As far as I know, no virtual shrines have gone up for Rebick.

Judy Rebick is working for "a radically egalitarian society". Sounds nice, but you had better not forget your timesheet! No timesheet?! No radically egalitarian society for you! Next!

It's all very amusing.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 08:50 AM | Comments (36) | Add Comment
Post contains 513 words, total size 4 kb.

April 24, 2006

Abotech story continues

Thanks to a reader for the heads up on this story in the Ottawa Citizen:

Ex-MP's firm was a conduit for federal hiring report

An audit report shows how a company founded by former Liberal MP David Smith was paid to serve as a middleman in 13 government contracts, even though the company had "no relationship" with the government departments issuing the contracts and "little knowledge" of the consultants hired to do the work.

The December 2005 report by the international auditing firm KPMG found evidence that Mr. Smith's company, Abotech, was used as a conduit through which government departments hired the consultants they wanted for contracts, effectively circumventing the competitive bidding process.

David Smith represented the Quebec riding of Pontiac for the Liberal Party until January 23 (on election night, he finished third behind following the Conservative candidate Lawrence Cannon, now Minister of Transport, Infrastructure and Communities, and the Bloc candidate Christine emond Lapointe).

Followers of this blog know that I spent a great deal of time researching the Abotech affair. It was here where it was first revealed that the two ends of this conduit, David Smith of Abotech and Frank Brazeau of Public Works, were first cousins, a fact since confirmed and now part of the story:

All 13 contracts -- as well as two more discussed in the report -- were awarded to Abotech by a single government contracting officer. The officer's name is blanked out in the KPMG document, released through Access to Information, but Mr. Smith has previously confirmed the contracts were awarded to him through his cousin, Frank Brazeau. Mr. Brazeau and Smith grew up together in Maniwaki.

So what does David Smith have to say about this? David Smith seems to have disappeared, but Kate Jaimet got this quote back in December during the election:

Mr. Smith could not be reached for comment yesterday, but has previously said he did nothing wrong.

"I respected the procedures. If there was some things which were done in non-conformity, me, I don't know," he said in December.

The KPMG Report suggests that David Smith knew much more than he has admitted. In the National Post, there is an extended version of the story in which we learn that Abotech was a favoured firm:

Two of the the 31 contracts were awarded to Abotech, but the KPMG auditors questioned the scoring method that allowed Abotech to win over its competitors, stating that nothing in Abotech's file "suggests procurement or contracting experience."

What actually happens is that a Consulting and Audit Canada (CAC) officer would enter search terms into a database to pull up firms likely to be able to do the work. In some of the cases checked by KPMG, Abotech beat out better firms, or worse, appeared on the list despite not matching the search terms.

The KPMG report describes how the government agency Mr. Brazeau worked for, Consulting and Audit Canada (CAC), would manipulate the bidding process to "facilitate contracts to a desired resource."

The KPMG audit began as a review of 31 contracts, all handled by the same CAC employee and all involving work for the RCMP pension plan. The employee's name is blanked out in the document, but Frank Koziol, a consultant who won some of the contracts and was interviewed by KPMG for the audit, confirmed yesterday that Mr. Brazeau was the person who handled the contracts.

There is that RCMP Pension Plan again.

Now this favoured treatment of Abotech doesn't prove David Smith knew anything. You could argue that he was blissfully ignorant of why his firm was doing so well. But then there's this:

The report describes how consultants, "typically former public servants," would be referred to Abotech by CAC. "The consultant would indicate they wished to contract through Abotech and that a contract would be forthcoming." Abotech, agreeing to the arrangement, would add the consultant's resume to its entry in the CAC database. Soon, CAC would send Abotech a request for proposal and Abotech would bid on the contract, offering the services of the original consultant.

So David Smith and Abotech would work the scam in both directions. Abotech would act as a referral service for former public servants (connected Liberals, I would not be surprised to learn). Remember, these people already have work lined up from their friends in government. They just need a means by which to bypass the checks built into the CAC process. Abotech was part of that means. David Smith is contacted by a contractor telling him the work is ready to be awarded. David Smith would use Abotech to enter the contractor into the database. David Smith's cousin Frank Brazeau, working on behalf of the government department trying to direct work to their favoured contractor, would fake a search and award process knowing full well that the work would go to that contractor. The contract would be structured so as to require the services of Abotech to manage it, so David Smith would get his cut. The contractor gets the work, the paper trail looks legitimate (at first glance, anyway), and all the palms are greased.

What did Frank Brazeau get out of this? That's still an unanswered question. One possibility is a kickback from David Smith and Abotech, but to find out would require examination of bank records, and for that you need a warrant. Another possibility is favoured treatment and promotions inside of CAC, but that would would implicate his supervisors. In that scenario, how far up would the trail go? To David Marshall, the Deputy Minister? To his former boss and Liberal leadership hopeful, Scott Brison? Would they involved in the scam, or if not, a subsequent coverup? We might never know.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 08:09 AM | Comments (9) | Add Comment
Post contains 959 words, total size 6 kb.

April 23, 2006

Digitized or recycled

Go to small dead animals and read this story concerning a photo of Stephen Harper that might have been altered.

Here's the picture that is used in the CBC story:

harper-cp-9870945.jpg

Cute. Manages to line things up to have the crown right on top of Stephen Harper's head.

Now Kate suggests that there was some hanky-panky here because other photos of the event (like this one from TVA) show the background significantly higher:

20060421-183022-g.jpg

Kate makes a convincing argument that the photo might have been altered.

But there might be another explanation. The CBC story running the "crown picture" is dated 21-April-2006.

Now check out this CTV story from 8-November-2005:

crown.jpg

Same photographer, Aaron Harris. Same line-up of the shot to get the crown on Stephen Harper's head.

Coincidence? Or another explanation?

  1. One or both photos were altered to get the curious alignment
  2. The CBC story was recycling an older Harper photo, perhaps from the November 8 event, to achieve the desired effect. But then Stephen Harper's hair seems much lighter and the background less in focus. Of course, that doesn't prove anything in this Photoshop world.
  3. Aaron Harris just likes to take photos like that.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 01:05 AM | Comments (23) | Add Comment
Post contains 199 words, total size 2 kb.

April 22, 2006

Tragedy in Afghanistan

Taliban killers got lucky today, and four Canadian soldiers paid the price.

Our thoughts and prayers go out to their families and comrades, and to the chain of command that must deal with the consequences of the decisions they are forced to make in pursuit of security and freedom.

Meanwhile, among Canada's far left, a fight has broken out over when it is appropriate to demand that the surviving Canadian soldiers and their commanders all the way up through to the Prime Minister be dragged in front of the International Court of Justice to be found guilty of war crimes and sentenced to long prison terms.

I guess freedom isn't really freedom if it doesn't cover fools as well. Too bad.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:10 PM | Comments (12) | Add Comment
Post contains 127 words, total size 1 kb.

Indulgences

Since Cindy Sheehan seems to have come into focus yet again, I'm going to take some time to look at her latest missive, and then indulge in a bit of unsubstantiated rumour-mongering. Why? Because I've been accused of doing that all along.

more...

Posted by: Steve Janke at 09:17 AM | Comments (6) | Add Comment
Post contains 2272 words, total size 14 kb.

April 20, 2006

Of Orcs and obsessions

I've been taken to task over Cindy Sheehan. Now there's a blast from the past.

more...

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:09 PM | Comments (56) | Add Comment
Post contains 1609 words, total size 10 kb.

April 19, 2006

Appropriate channels and appropriate timing

When one of my kids wants something, they've been taught to ask us directly. What they learn quickly is that if they want to annoy us, they should tell other people what they expect to get without coming to us first.

I bring this up in the context of the relationship between Chief of Defence Staff General Rick Hillier, and the Prime Minister's Office:

Canada's Chief of Defence Staff Rick Hillier has been asked to submit advance copies of his public remarks to the Minister of Defence before delivering them, The Globe and Mail reported Wednesday.

Liberal critics are jumping on this:

"That is highly inappropriate," Liberal defence critic Ujjal Dosanjh said. "(General Hillier) is not a member of the cabinet. His role is to be a strong voice for our military and in that sense he's independent, so he can speak about the needs of the military."

Dosanjh pointed out that Hillier has recently said that tactical, short-haul aircraft to replace the military's ancient C-130 Hercules transports are his priority.

Fair enough. But Gen. Hillier should not, and would not, announce the priorities via a speech, blindsiding the government -- this government or any other. If anything is inappropriate, it is Dosanjh's suggestion otherwise.

Weirder still is the suggestion that this is the way it should be.

Should the General's comments be vetted through the PMO? Just because this hasn't been the custom in the past doesn't mean it's not a good idea. Consider it instead a recognition of the importance of the CDS as a means of delivering signals. Frankly, that the Liberals have always ignored the CDS and his speeches is the real insult. Instead, the CDS is recognized now as a a person whose comments on national and international issues carry real weight. As such, those comments need to reflect government policy, and to have people skilled in understanding how words can be represented and misrepresented by the media look over a speech doesn't sound like a bad thing.

Funny, isn't it? Gen. Hillier calls terrorists "murderers and scumbags", and all we hear about is the loose cannon we have for CDS. On the other hand, a minority government tries hard to make sure there is unity of purpose and of message in order to avoid the scandal-ridden rudderless nightmare of the previous minority government, and the Liberals, who managed that nightmare, are first in line to complain.

Aren't these the same Liberals who claimed during the election that the Conservatives were planning to unleash the goose-stepping ranks of our military into our major cities to crush our freedoms? You'd think the Liberals would be eager to keep the dangerous anti-democratic forces of the military under tight control. I'm confused.

This government is trying to make this minority situation work, and to do that, some things are going to have to change compared to Paul Martin's management style:

Prime Minister Stephen Harper has slapped a muzzle on the Canadian military, forbidding brass from speaking for fear of detracting attention from his government's top priorities.

A top military officer said the Prime Minister's Office recently reeled in Chief of Defence Staff Gen. Rick Hillier to tell him that all of his speaking engagements had to be approved and his speeches would be vetted by Harper's staff.

Harper has kept his government focused strictly on his top five priorities, starting with the tabling last Tuesday of his accountability act meant to clean up the way Ottawa does business.

If Stephen Harper and his people allow other people to start driving the agenda every which way, it is the surest means of making sure nothing gets accomplished. General Hillier is no fool -- I'm sure he gets it, even if the media seems eager to spin this in a bad way ("reeled in"?). He might want to talk about some issues important to the military, but now is not the time. Give Stephen Harper the time he needs to accomplish the goals he has laid out, to prove to Canadians that the Conservative Party can be trusted. The General and the Canadian Forces have not been forgotten. Quite the opposite. The Conservatives understand just what an important part of the team the military is, and with that understanding comes the realization that the military has to work with the rest of the team to get things done.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 09:28 AM | Comments (18) | Add Comment
Post contains 738 words, total size 5 kb.

April 18, 2006

Beating a dead horse

The ongoing bleating about David Emerson is pretty tiring. Today Prime Minister Stephen Harper was in Burnaby, BC, making a speech about child care. In the CTV piece on the story, there is a picture of a person carrying a pair of signs with the standard accusation of hypocrisy. The caption is as follows:

Alexander Lamb, a constituent of David Emerson's, carries signs as he arrives at the Willingdon Heights Community Centre to greet Prime Minister Stephen Harper in Burnaby B.C. Tuesday, April 18, 2006.

Is he a constituent? The picture was provided by Chuck Stoody of CP. Did Stoody ask Lamb where he was from? Did he do any follow up? Or is Stoody assuming that Lmab is a constituent?

Or did the people at CTV provide the caption themselves? And if so, the question stands: how was it established that Lamb was a constituent?

Why do I ask? Because I checked every "A Lamb" in the phone book (and I managed to get the postal code for the one "A Lamb" of the ten without a postal code listed in the phone book), and not one of these people is a constituent in David Emerson's riding.

There is a business called "Alexander Lamb Antiques" in the riding. It is a commercial building on Main Street, just three buildings south of East 16th Avenue. Alexander Lamb might have a room in the back and live on the premises, but with all the folks from outside of Emerson's riding making trouble, I tend to be suspicious. But then maybe I'm the one guilty of beating a dead horse here, constantly checking on where these protesters are from.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 08:50 PM | Comments (34) | Add Comment
Post contains 285 words, total size 2 kb.

But I thought we were a country of "progressives"?

The left in this country has, not unreasonably, pointed to the popular vote in the last election as indicating that, without vote splitting between the three left-of-centre parties (the Liberals, the NDP, and in Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois), the Conservatives would not have won. As it is, the Conservatives were only able to get a minority. They argue that the majority of Canadians really want a "progresssive" government, and that this current Conservative government is an electoral aberration.

But the latest Angus Reid Poll suggests something different:

How do the Conservatives’ priorities compare to your own?

Identical: 9%
Similar: 56%
Different: 20%
Very different: 10%
Don’t know: 5%

Is this a case of the Conservatives masking themselves as some sort of Liberal-lite? But 65% of Canadians in the poll say the Conservative priorities are their priorities. So what are the Conservative priorities?

Thanks to the 5-priority list, we know what those priorities are:

  • Clean up government by passing the Federal Accountability Act;
  • Provide real tax relief to working families by cutting the GST;
  • Make our streets and communities safer by cracking down on crime;
  • Help parents with the cost of raising their children; and
  • Work with the provinces to establish a Patient Wait Times Guarantee.

No hiding the conservative agenda here. Lower taxes. More choices (and responsibilities) for parents. Tough on crime. Push the provinces to meet their obligations in health care. Clean up government and eliminate the culture of entitlement.

What about the environment? What about world peace? What about being different from the US? What about more laws to protect workers? What about higher taxes on corporations and wealthy Canadians?

What about those things that make Canada Canadian, at least according to the NDP and the Liberals and their fellow travellers?

Maybe those left-of-centre parties had better do some serious reconsideration about what Canadians really want. They might not like the answer. So far the answer seems to be that they really want Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 11:33 AM | Comments (140) | Add Comment
Post contains 348 words, total size 3 kb.

April 12, 2006

The SOCA Act

From the CBC:

Ottawa and the RCMP are considering a wholesale restructuring of federal law enforcement, based on a new British super crime-fighting agency, CBC News has learned.

Canadian officials are examining an organization unveiled in the United Kingdom last week known as the Serious Organized Crime Agency, or SOCA.

The biggest change in law enforcement since the founding of Scotland Yard, the FBI-style agency brings together 4,000 people from the U.K.'s National Crime Squad, the Intelligence Service, Customs and Excise, and the Immigration Service. SOCA members can hold multiple powers of police, immigration and customs officers.

Farther down in the story, though, is the most important aspect of the reorganization -- the legislation that is driving it:

SOCA Director General Bill Hughes said the organization has also been given new legislation to target organized crime.

"With the powers we have under Proceeds of Crime, and the other additional powers we've got under the SOCA Act, then we have some real opportunities to act against organized criminals," he said.

For example, lower level gang members could be sent to jail if they refuse to testify against the leaders of organized crime gangs.

Clearly, Canadian officials like the structural reorganization, but perhaps also the legislative aspect:

RCMP Chief Superintendent Bob Paulson, who took over control of the RCMP's Organized Crime Intelligence Branch two months ago, says he likes what he sees in the U.K.

"It's a recognition that if you're going to tackle organized crime on more than one enforcement front, you can do it with all the regulatory punch of government."

The truth is, I'm confused whether Canadian officials are more enamoured by the SOCA Act, or by the enforcing agency. I think the confusion is being sowed purposely. Keep the focus on the shiny new super-crime fighting agency, so that certain groups don't pay much attention to SOCA, the law.

Why? Because of the SOCA Act, as it has been enacted in the UK, gives law enforcement the ability to crack down on organized crime in an unprecedented manner.

So what's the problem? Fewer Sicilian or Russian mobsters is a good thing. It's not like the NDP can be too upset at that, right?

Interestingly, the SOCA Act can target, and has targeted, animal rights groups:

The new Serious Organised Crime and Police Act (SOCA) came into force on 1 July this year and it includes several measures to tackle the problem of animal rights extremism.

The legislation creates a new offence of causing economic loss by organised campaigns that target any scientist or member of their family, research facility or company in the supply chain using tactics such as intimidation, criminal damage, trespass, blackmail and libel.

The new law should enable police forces and the justice system to clamp down more effectively on animal rights extremism: they now have a clearer legal framework and can act more quickly. The Act may have already helped to reduce the number of attacks significantly.

On 3 August, the Metropolitan Police confirmed that seven animal rights activists were arrested for the first time under the SOCA Act. In recent years, there have been a growing number of police and prosecution successes against offenders who target companies and their staff.

In addition, many research institutions successfully protected themselves by gaining injunctions against harassment by groups and individuals - this has reduced illegal activity in a very effective way. The injunctions have been successful, both in controlling overt protests at research premises and outside private homes.

Presumably any group that pickets a private home, or uses late night visits to intimidate people they don't like, will find themselves subject to the SOCA Act. For example, there is now a concept in British law, introduced by this Act, of the "reasonable persons" -- a test a person has to pass to avoid being subjected to prosecution for executing what is called in the UK a "home visit".

Remember those anti-sealing protests on Canada's east coast? The helicopter fly-by's, the McCartneys prancing about on an ice flow, the general nuisance factor? In the British SOCA Act, it is now an offence to enter a "designated site" as a trespasser, punishable with up to a year in jail, a designated site being defined as any Crown land. It is a crime to take part in or to help organize a demonstration on a designated site. Note that special exceptions are made for labour demonstrations. If you want to stage a demonstration on Crown land, you have to apply for permission. Permission might be granted, with details concerning allowed size, number and size of placards, time of day, etc. No loudspeakers are allowed under the SOCA Act.

Now the British SOCA Act has special sections covering animal research protests, going beyond the sections I've just described. Of course, animal rights protests targeting animal research facilities and their staff is a major problem in the UK. Presumably, a Canadianized SOCA Act would focus on the disruption of such legal activities as the seal hunt in addition to the more general sections aimed at more traditional organized crime elements.

So I go back to the first sentence of the CBC report:

Ottawa and the RCMP are considering a wholesale restructuring of federal law enforcement, based on a new British super crime-fighting agency, CBC News has learned.

The CBC report focuses on the agency itself. But the agency is backed by enabling legislation that is far more significant than the nuts and bolts details of enforcement. I'm curious about what Canadian officials are spending their time in the UK studying.

I guess we'll all find out when the we see the plans for legislation to support the law-and-order plank of the Conservative Party platform. I suspect something like the SOCA Act will get a pretty rough ride in this minority government, since the activist groups that might find themselves subject to restrictions when it comes to their hitherto unfettered ability to cause mischief are also the natural allies of the current crop of opposition parties.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:56 PM | Comments (29) | Add Comment
Post contains 1010 words, total size 7 kb.

Dumb question of the day

From the CBC:

Another section of the act hints that an inquiry might be called into the spending practices of a past Liberal government.

An independent adviser will be appointed for six months to look at public opinion surveying commissioned while former prime minister Jean Chretien was in charge, before November 2003, "and determine whether further action, such as a judicial inquiry, is required."

OK, the prime minister wants to get a sense of how the citizens of this country feel about an issue. Isn't that what members of parliament are for? Or am I missing something here?

Posted by: Steve Janke at 08:34 PM | Comments (17) | Add Comment
Post contains 108 words, total size 1 kb.

April 08, 2006

Progressivism and Entropy

In relation to my last post, I think I've come to some sort of understanding about the nature of "progressivism" as it is defined by liberals.

I discussed that it can't be progressive unless you have a goal, otherwise you can't judge if you've made any progress to that goal.

I was wrong. More to the point, I was had not considered the other possibility. You can measure progress to a goal. You can also measure progress away from something.

And with that realization, I suddenly understood why conservatives are inherently hard-working and liberals are inherently lazy. It has to do with which type of progress you are trying to achieve and entropy.

Yes, my flashes of insight are often weird and difficult to explain. Still, I'll try.

Let us say for the sake of argument that conservatives strive for general stability. That is to say, they are generally satisfied with the status quo and resist dramatic change. When they do desire change, it is usually a very focused and specific change that can be objectively measured in order to determine success. Take for example the Conservative government's five priorities. A very specific set of goals, limited in number and scope, achievable and measurable.

Liberals seem to think that the status quo is generally bad. For them, progress is anything that is not what it is like today.

And there is where the laziness comes in. It is related to entropy. Consider a jigsaw puzzle fresh out of the box, the pieces scattered on your kitchen table. The random jumble is in a state of high entropy, a term that comes from the field of thermodynamics, and is applicable to information theory as well. Think of it as randomness (though that is an imperfect analogy scientifically speaking). If your goal is to depict the bucolic scene on the cover of the box, you have to invest a great deal of time and effort sorting the pieces and fitting them together.

That is because there is only one correct configuration that shows the picture. To go from a state of randomness to one of order means injecting energy into the system. When completed you have a system of low entropy and high potential energy.

If on the other hand, your goal is merely to have a different configuration than the one you have on the table, all you have to do is mess around with the pieces by shuffling them about for a few moments. It takes nearly no effort, and you have achieve your goal of being different.

Of course, the system is still in a state of high entropy and low potential energy, but then you've injected virtually no energy into the system. Moreoever, by your measure of success, your have succeeded, which isn't surprising, since the bar was set so low. On the other hand, if your goal was to solve the puzzle, success is much harder to come by and failure is easily discerned.

Keeping that analogy in mind, think about conservative progressivism and liberal progressivism. For a conservative, a goal would be to increase Canada's birth rate, for example. That's a measurable goal, and hard to achieve. One step would be to strengthen marriage as an institution, not dilute it.

For a liberal, progress is merely being able to say that today is different from yesterday. Yesterday we did not have gay marriage. Today we do. That's progress.

In a way it is, because you have moved away from your previous state. But the new state is really not much different from the old state. Birth rates, for example, continue to fall. So though the configuration is different, it is still essentially that same (random noise, purposeless, chaotic), and achieving it really required no special effort. The liberal can hold up his achievement, but then any change from day to day would meet his weak definition for progress.

For the conservative, of course, that's not progress. Not because, in this case, of a fundamental problem with gay marriage. But because that change has done nothing to move the state of the system (birth rate in this case) to a desired goal (an increase), and arguably has moved away from it. So when a conservative says this does not represent progress, it is because he understands progress to mean something different. There is a specific goal in mind, and if that goal is not reached, or at least approached, then whatever changes have occurred are not truly progressive. The system is merely in a different, but equivalent, state.

The conservative's goals are much harder to achieve. He is trying to solve the puzzle. That takes incredible amounts of energy, given the puzzle at hand -- Canada. For the liberal, the goal is to continually fiddle, and any pointless or ineffective change is progress and so is a claim to success. Gay marriage does nothing to strengthen marriage or the family, but yesterday we didn't have it, and today we do, so that's progress. The long gun registry has done nothing to lower crime, but yesterday we didn't have it, and today we do, so that's progress. The additional billions thrown at healthcare have not improved the system, but yesterday we weren't spending it, and today we are, so that's progress. Nationalized daycare as envisioned by the Liberals would have resulted in almost no new daycare spaces, but yesterday we didn't have it, and today we would have, so that would have been progress.

The size of government is a function of this difference is "progress". Conservatives believe in having only as much government as you need to fulfill a specific set of goals. Any more does not help reach those goals and so does not help progress (indeed is an impediment in terms of wasted tax dollars). Liberals believe in large governments involved in all aspects of society. That provides the maximum capacity for changing things, which to them is the equivalent of maxium progress.

This is why liberals are always talking about an endless list of progressive policies and rarely any concrete goals. Progress is an end to itself, and what is "policy" but a word for how to change something, minus the actual goal. As long as things are changing (and they are directing the changes, of course), then, according to them, they have achieved their goal, because the goal is the change. Where the change leads is really not all that important, because wherever that is, they don't plan to stay there for long before changing things again.

I guess I know now why I tune out when I starting reading or hearing about progressive this and progressive that. At some level, I've always understood that all that nonsense about progressive policies never meant anything. Now I think I understand why.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 03:12 PM | Comments (171) | Add Comment
Post contains 1143 words, total size 7 kb.

Getting fed up with the word "progressive"

I'm fed up with the word progressive:

Another effort [to define a new vision for the Liberal Party] is being made by a group co-chaired by former deputy prime ministers John Manley and Anne McLellan, called the Canada 2020 conference. The conference, which bills itself as non-partisan but is heavy with Liberals, will bring 150 business, government and academic leaders together June 13 to 15 to look at policies to keep Canada "competitive and socially progressive" in the 21st century.

As the last election showed, the Liberals tried to appeal to everyone by competing with the Conservatives on tax cuts and with the New Democrats on child care, giving voters the impression they had no clear direction and that their priorities were each compromised by half-measures.

To avoid that, Liberals should seek progressive policies that focus on social reform, economic growth, poverty, cities and the environment.

It is not enough simply to champion the cause of the poor or to stand for better social programs. Candidates must spell out clearly what it means to be a progressive on the international stage, and what it means for a broad range of economic and social policies here at home.

This is the challenge, as it was almost 50 years ago when Lester Pearson won the leadership by uniting Liberals and ultimately the country behind a progressive plan in which many Canadians still take such pride.

How did the word "progress" become the property of the liberal left? Conservatism seeks to conserve, on the principle that if it works, don't fix it. But by definition, if it is working, whatever it is, it is doing so because it continues to serve a purpose and achieve progress as it is measured. For instance, conservatives were generally against tinkering against the definition of marriage because they feared that if the concept of marriage subsequently lost all meaning, the institution would no longer act to progress the interests of a stable regenerating society.

But instead, that became regressive, and to be progressive, you had to support changing marriage (by including gay unions and in doing so eliminating the notion of children and basic human procreative biology from the definition of marriage) to be counted as progressive. But progression to what?

How can you call yourself progressive if you can't define your goal? If you don't have a goal, how can you measure your progress?

Somehow, "progress" became synonymous with "change", or more accurately, "change for the sake of change". That's not progress, that's chaos.

Moreoever, "progress" somehow demanded government intervention. Two different groups could have the same goal. A cleaner environment, for example. One group could argue for the use of free market mechanisms (strong property rights, for example, to encourage people to keep their investments clean and so valuable). Another group could argue for massive government intervention, supported by increased taxes, and punitive criminal and civil laws to force compliance.

There is a goal. Both approaches is attempting to make progress to that goal, which to me makes both plans progressive. Each takes a very different approach, and presumably over time we could measure which approach is making more progress, both in absolute terms and relative to the resources expended to achieve the intermediate results measured.

But somehow, the "progressive" policy is the one that involves the hand of government, the heavier, the better. That makes no sense. Progressive should have no connection to the means by which progress is achieved. It is either attempting to affect a change or it isn't.

I know it's too late to fix things now. If you are a conservative who believes in individual empowerment over government intervention, a liberal will sniff and accuse you of not being progressive, regardless of what you are trying to do or how. We'll just have to live with it.

But having to tolerate it doesn't mean having to believe it. Personally, when I see or hear the word "progressive" being tossed about, I tune it out.

Posted by: Steve Janke at 10:13 AM | Comments (28) | Add Comment
Post contains 669 words, total size 4 kb.

<< Page 1 of 2 >>
817kb generated in CPU 0.1025, elapsed 0.1792 seconds.
113 queries taking 0.0977 seconds, 968 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.