November 30, 2005

RCMP Investigation: Lousy timing for the Liberals

Being subject to a criminal investigation during an election being fought largely on the question of ethics sounds like something from a sitcom.

It's hard to imagine a worse possible time:

The RCMP have begun a review of reported heavier-than-usual trading in income trusts and dividend-paying stocks ahead of an announcement last week that the federal government was increasing the tax credit on corporate dividends.

NDP finance critic Judy Wasylycia-Leis sent a letter of complaint to the Royal Canadian Mounted Police earlier this week requesting the probe into whether Bay Street insiders received advance knowledge of the announcement, Staff Sgt. Paul Marsh told Bloomberg News.

"The RCMP will review the information provided to determine if there is a basis to proceed with a criminal investigation," Marsh said.

"It would be inappropriate to speculate what action may or may not be taken."

Not just the RCMP, but other stock market regulators as well.

Finance Minister Ralph Goodale denied allegations that information was leaked.

Expect a lot of airplay, as well as some very pointed questions aimed at Paul Martin from the other party leaders during the leadership debates.

You have to wonder if maybe the Prime Minister should have taken the opposition up on its offer to start the election in mid-January.

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The Liberal Party gets "bucked"

OK, I'm trying to coin a new term here, and I'm certain it will fall flat.

There was a pretty lousy but thoroughly enjoyable TV series in 1979 called "Buck Rogers in the 25th Century" starring Gil Gerard and Erin Gray. If you are in your late 30s like me, you'll remember it.

In the pilot episode, Buck infiltrates the enemy mothership which is secretly carrying a wing of small attack bombers with which to attack Earth during a peace conference. Buck hides an explosive in each of the bombers' engines. The attack begins, the mother ship starts launching the bombers, the bombers immediately explode after clearing the launch bays.

Buck Rogers, rugged individualist, saves the day.

Why was I recalling this bit of silliness? Because it seems to be happening to Liberal Party mothership right now.

Funny thing is, the person most likely playing the role of Buck Rogers in this little play is not someone you'd expect.

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The Abotech Affair: More leaks from inside Consulting and Audit Canada

More detailed information seems to leaking out from inside Consulting and Audit Canada. Is the information accurate? Some of it is. For the rest I can't say one way or another.

But it seemed so detailed and so damning that I'll post it -- you decide for yourself.

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Belinda's friends

I was checking Belinda Stronach's new digs on the Web, and it strikes me that she has some interesting new friends to help her out with her campaign.

I guess she needs new ones since many of her former campaign workers are so angry with her that they're working hard to make sure Lois Brown, the new Conservative candidate, wins the riding of Newmarket-Aurora.

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November 29, 2005

The Conservative Party Blog -- a comparison

I gave the Liberal Party Blog a rough ride for being a bit too much on the cute side.

Some people thought I nailed it; some thought I was missing the point.

Well, at the risk of sounding partisan, here is the Conservative Party Blog, and I think it strikes the right note, at least for me:

Welcome to the Tour Blog at conservative.ca. Over the next several weeks, I will attempt to provide an "inside" look at Stephen Harper's national tour as we cross the country speaking with Canadians about Stephen Harper and the positive Conservative vision for Canada. As a tour staffer, I hope to offer you a perspective from "inside the bus" as the Leader visits all corners of the country. Be sure to check back each day for the latest news from the road!

One staffer's log of the events and experiences of a campaign. No attacks or insults delivered in mocking tones, but insight and perspective written with respect for both the subject and the reader.

Sounds like the two blog capture perfectly the choice being presented to Canadians.

But then maybe I'm missing the point again.

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Another Pierre Lemieux? And an idea for a blogroll...

From the Great Pumpkin, a tale of two Peters.

One is the CPC candidate for Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, near Ottawa.

The other is another conservative figure, an economist and writer for the National Post, the Western Standard, and other major publications.

The first owns the domain www.pierrelemieux.ca, while the second owns .org and .com.

With the election underway, maybe the candidate Lemieux could use a bump up so he gets spotted first on searches, so go visit the site or link him up.

Which gives me an idea. I'd like to construct a blogroll of all CPC candidate websites. I've got one already, the address for candidate Lemieux. Help me out by sending me the links to any candidates you know. Identify what province they're running in. Let's see if we can construct the full list within a week.

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And this is what happens...

...when you decriminalize marijuana.

You get The Official Blog of the Liberal Party of Canada:

Wow, look at me! I'm in "cyberspace," where no one can hear you scream. Or maybe they CAN hear you scream but they don't pay attention because they're too busy looking at naked ladies. Either way, stop screaming, would you?

I for one am betting this so-called "Internet" is really going to catch on. It's neato.

That really what's on the blog. No kidding.

Obviously there is a bit of tongue-in-cheek here (the Internet "catching on" is meant to be a joke), but it's also supposed to be a clever way of delivering the Liberal message of how scary Stephen Harper is, in this case, comparing Stephen Harper to the Grinch:

Remember, kids: one is grumpy and has a heart two sizes too small. And the other one's the Grinch.

That's a knee-slapper.

For me, I'll keep to my dry and serious presentation, with a special effort on being news-like. For those who want sophomoric wit and words like "neato" in their political discourse, well, you've got that other blog.

Remember: views expressed on this blog do not necessarily represent the policies or beliefs of Paul Martin. Except when I write about the hypnotic musical stylings of Nana Mouskouri. We're totally in sync on that.

One more thing I don't have in common with Paul Martin. I guess I did learn something from reading it, though it hardly seems to have been worth the effort.

I hope the Conservatives avoid the temptation of going all "cutesy".

[Hat tip to small dead animals]

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The Gary Lunn Phone Call: Not so imaginary

Based on some nagging doubts and some solid information, I decided to double check into the story about the mysterious phone calls being made in the riding of Conservative MP Gary Lunn.

As you might recall, there was a story posted at Free Dominion, alleging that people in Gary Lunn's riding were getting calls from someone pretending to be representing Gary Lunn, and during the course of the conversation, dropping the bombshell that Gary Lunn does not support Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper.

That was reported on Sunday, two days ago.

Yesterday, I called Gary Lunn's office and spoke to Logan, an executive assistant, who said he had not heard of this, and that it was not likely to be true. We all chalked it up to an internet myth.

Another day has gone by. I just got off the phone with Logan, and the story has changed somewhat. True to his word, he found his boss and talked to him about it. This is what he understands happened. Someone did make a phone call to a constituent. As far as he knows, there was only one such phone call. That constituent heard something during that conversation that made him or her concerned, and then that person called Gary Lunn, who assured the constituent that all was well, including Gary Lunn's genuine support for Stephen Harper (which Logan pegged at 150%, something that, after a moment, caused us both to laugh because it seemed like such a cliche).

So is there a story here? Apparently there is, but what it is, I'm not certain yet. The truth lies somewhere in between the extremes. Something did happen. But was it a dirty trick, or just a confused political discussion?

I'll keep checking. And if you are an MP, or work for an MP of any party, and you are reading this, you might do well to check if there is a pattern of weird mischievous calls being made in your riding.

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Lesbians' lawyer lets slip what the "war" is really about

findlay.jpg Lesbian and gay rights attorney barbara findlay

In British Columbia, a lesbian couple rent a hall from the Catholic group Knights of Columbus to hold their wedding reception. When the Knights realized it was for a lesbian couple, they canceled the booking and refunded the money.

The couple took the Knights to the British Columbia Human Rights Tribunal, and won a small judgment. Interestingly, the Tribunal made a comment that suggested that a minor amount of extra effort on the part of the Knights to help the couple out after canceling the booking would have turned the judgment in their favour.

That has the lawyer for the lesbians very upset.





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Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics? Add to that damning graphs

BFI trading (click to enlarge)

The allegations of leaks and insider trading with the collusion of the Finance Minister Ralph Goodale's office continue to swirl.

Check out the chart showing the trading on BFI, the garbage collectors. I find this chart one of the strongest pieces of evidence that something rotten was going on.

On Wednesday, just before 6 p.m. EST, the federal finance department officially announced it would cut the tax on dividends and would leave trusts alone. That's the type of news that is always announced after stock markets close at 4 p.m. EST because it would give a boost to those types of securities.

But trading in many trusts and dividend-paying stocks became much heavier than usual in the hour or two before the market's closed on Wednesday, and share prices rose sharply.

At BFI, the trading picked up as early as 2pm. But look at the price per unit. Essentially flat. These buyers wern't reacting to a shift in the market that had happened. They were preparing for a shift that would happen.

Stock exchange re-opens the next day, and in the wake of the announcement not to tax trusts but to cut taxes on dividends, BFI leaps three dollars. There is a bit of profit taking, but the guys in the know hold on to their units instead of devaluing them by dumping them all at once.

That amounted to what looks like 350,000 shares moving for no apparent reason. Not earth-shattering, but a nice piece of change, especially if you didn't actually have to work at it.

The huge spike in pre-announcement volume, followed by signficantly reduced volume post-announcement, is going to be the kind of flag that regulators are looking for.

I wonder if they would care to know that BFI contributed $2,000 to Paul Martin's leadership campaign in May 2003. Probably just coincidence.

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November 28, 2005

A Bright New Future

Stephen Harper tonight:

"This is not just the end of a tired, directionless scandal-plagued government, it's the start of a bright new future for this great country," Harper said.

Well, of course, we're all happy that Carolyn Parrish is not running for re-election...

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The Abotech Affair: West Quebec Post article becomes a "clipping" for the Conservatives

A minor bit of interest, but Pierre Poilievre, MP for Nepean-Carleton, has incorporated the West Quebec Post article about David Smith into his web site as a "clipping" to highlight his work representing his constituents' interests.

Of course, Poilievre is not running against David Smith, who represents the riding of Pontiac, but Laurence Cannon is. And Laurence Cannon, the Conservative Party candidate in Pontiac, is certain to be handing out copies of the article throughout the riding.

Will this make a difference? Well, though many of us outside of Quebec don't recognize the name "Laurence Cannon", inside Quebec, it is very well known. He was a communications minister under Robert Bourassa, and he comes from a family of politicians and business giants.

He is one of the Conservative Party's best bets for a seat in this election, and a leader for further gains in elections to come.

And maybe, just maybe, I helped out a little bit.

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Dirty tricks in Gary Lunn's riding? Didn't happen

Update: Apparently there is something to this after all.

Yesterday I posted about a rumour going around that constituents in Gary Lunn's riding in British Columbia were receiving calls from someone pretending to be speaking on Lunn's behalf. That person would then chat and let drop the little bombshell that Gary Lunn doesn't support Stephen Harper. The rumour then has it that the person called Gary Lunn's home, presumably unintentionally, and that Lunn has since gotten in touch with the press and the RCMP.

I just got off the phone with Gary Lunn's executive assistant in the BC constituency office, and he says the story simply isn't true. I sent him the link to the original post in Free Dominion, and he's double-checking with the boss, but is certain he would have heard something.

And he made it absolutely clear: Gary Lunn fully supports Stephen Harper!

Cute story. But it looks like this was one crime the Liberals did not perpetrate.

We'll just have to settle for all the other ones.

[Looks like small dead animals is also confirming that this story is just a fabrication.]

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Don't open emails from the CIA or the FBI

Unless, of course, you routinely get emails from the CIA or the FBI.

But for the rest of us, there is an email worm circulating that preys on natural human curiousity:

The latest Sober worm, first spotted over the weekend, has generated the vast majority of virus-laden e-mail traffic in the past 24 hours and could cause problems for corporate e-mail gateways, security companies said.

This variant of Sober generates e-mails that purport to be from the CIA or FBI. These messages tell the recipient they have been looking at illegal Web sites and should answer some questions in the e-mail's attachment. If the attachment is opened, the computer is infected, and the virus sends copies of itself to any e-mail addresses found on the hard drive.

So don't worry. Visiting the website of the Conservative Party to study their platform in the hours before an election call might not be something that the Liberal government wants you to do, but it's not illegal.

Anyway, the FBI is not likely to be interested in what you are doing online.

Unless, possibly, your name is Alfonso Gagliano.

[Hat tip to TG]

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Smart Government, Smart Car, Dumb Driver

Of course, the nanny state that is Canada loves this idea:

Transport Canada is road-testing cutting-edge devices that use global positioning satellite technology and a digital speed-limit map to know when a driver is speeding, and to try to make them stop.

When a driver hits a certain percentage above the posted speed limit, the device kicks in and makes it difficult to press the accelerator.

[Dr. Peter Burns, chief of ergonomics and crash avoidance with Transport Canada's road safety directorate,] said proponents of such devices are enthusiastic about the potential to reduce deaths and injuries from car crashes, as well as reduce greenhouse-gas emissions, which are greater at higher speeds.

So who makes this equivalent of a backseat driver? A company in Sweden. No surprises there.

Two things come to mind.

Since the system is GPS-based, and requires knowledge of where you are, this is essentially a citizen tracking system. Just one more way for the government to know what you're doing.

The second thing is that this will, of course, generate a whole new black market for devices or modifications to defeat the system. Some will focus on foiling the internal feedback system tied to the accelerator. Others will target the GPS itself, since if the system doesn't know where you are, it won't know that you're speeding.

Then there will be the GPS-jammers. Some will be frauds, doing nothing but filling the pockets of scam artists. Others might work, even partly, and will create havoc wherever they are turned on.

And then the constitutional challenges, perhaps launched by provinces fighting what they see as another federal intrusion on a provincial responsibility.

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Government-controlled vacations

A Liberal MP wants the government to stand in judgement of how you spend your free time.

You do the "right" thing, and the government will toss back a bit of your tax money.

Apparently, this will help Canadians learn to love their country.

Right...

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November 27, 2005

Did well-connected Liberal friends benefit in any way?

That's the question being asked by NDP Finance Critic Judy Wasylycia-Leis.

It'll be a question asked by the chairman of the Ontario Securities Commission.

It'll be a question asked by RCMP financial investigators.

And if there's any justice, it'll be asked by Canadians when they are looking at their ballots.

How would they have benefited? By taking advantage of a convenient leak of a crucial tax decision from Finance Minister Ralph Goodale's office last week:

On Friday, CBC News reported that trading in many income trusts and dividend-paying stocks became much heavier than usual late Wednesday – just before the government announced that it would not tax trusts and would cut the tax on stocks that pay dividends.

And several published reports said investors knew early about the plan, which lowers taxes on some stock returns.

Here's one such "published report". And here is an example of the weird trading patterns.

What was that about the Liberal Party being utterly unlike an organized criminal syndicate?

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The trick is to sustain traffic

I get on average about 1,800 hits a day. Today I'm at 1,180 with three hours to go until midnight.

Why do I mention this? Because even a slow weekend for me is not generally too shabby. I don't know why. But whatever the reason, I'm grateful I haven't fallen to the depths of this famous person.

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The Abotech Affair: In French

At Le Blog de Polyscopique, we have much of the text of the West Quebec Post article on David Smith and the Abotech affair translated into French. If you have contacts in Quebec who are interested but have, of course, only had the reports in Le Droit to read in French (those reports essentially cover the same ground as the Globe and Mail articles), then send them the link so that they can get informed.

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A negative campaign? Or dirty tricks?

martincall.jpg Just who is Paul Martin calling?

Update #2: Retract that retraction! Maybe there is something to this after all.

UPDATE #1: Apparently this story is just so much smoke.

There is a story on Free Dominion that a Conservative MP, Gary Lunn representing the BC riding of Saanich--Gulf Islands, has been the target of a dirty trick.

I have not been able to get any confirmation of this, given that it is Sunday, and no one is in either the constituency office or the parliamentary office to answer calls.

As the Official Opposition Critic of Public Works, Lunn has been a busy man, and probably has more than a few enemies in the Liberal Party.

As I write this, there is a story that his constituents in his riding are getting calls from someone claiming to call on Gary Lunn's behalf.

During the course of conversation, the caller reveals that Gary Lunn does not support Stephen Harper.

How is it that we know? Because the caller made the mistake of calling Gary Lunn's home to deliver the message of infighting between Gary Lunn and the leadership of the Conservative Party.

Well, news of infighting inside the Conservative Party on the cusp of an election call is sure to give pause to any potential voter.

It also gave pause to Gary Lunn himself, when he himself received the call!

According to the account, Gary Lunn has reported the call to the RCMP and to the press.

We'll see if any of the major media outlets report on these shenanigans, or if the Mounties dig up anything.

Is the story true? Are the Liberals behind this? Well, I expect that if they are, they've been careful to avoid leaving any traces back to them. But then maybe they wouldn't have expected to have been caught so quickly, so who knows just how careful they were.

If they're behind this, that is. And if the story is true.

I'll try to find out more tomorrow.

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