December 31, 2005
The Income Trust Scandal: Incompetence
Paul Martin said a number of PMO people needed to know the details of the income trust taxation decision ahead of time.
I wondered just who really needed to know, since it seems like too many people knew.
On the question of who needed to know, a former PMO staffer got in touch with me with some insights:
Paul Martin is telling the truth, somewhat.
PMO coordinates two things: communications and policy. So Scott Reid would have needed to know, so that Goodale's press conference was not taking place at the same time as some other announcement. And the policy shop would have needed to know, so it did not contradict some overall government priority, etc. So those things are true.
But what he does not address is this: this was a matter of tax policy that had huge market implications. Those things are treated with budget-level secrecy. And, here, we know that was not the case -- junior staff were running around spouting off well before the press conference. Hell, John McKay went on TV to say what the tax policy was (and got it wrong)! It was madness.
We have the solid example from CTV of the call to CARP from Ralph Goodale's office that happened before the announcement.
Even if the leak was inadvertant, the whole thing was handled in a haphazard way. Which begs the question why should the Liberals be trusted with levers of government.
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Corrupt or incompetent? That's why this income trust scandal will stick to the Liberals. Either way, they come out of this as a corrupt, arrogant bunch of operatives who believe they are above the law; or, worse, as incompetent boobs who had no clue that releasing this info early to some people would have a dramatic impact on stock markets.
Pick your poison.
Posted by: The Innkeeper at December 31, 2005 11:17 AM (JIyhJ)
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The Innkeeper wrote:
"Corrupt or incompetent? That's why this income trust scandal will stick to the Liberals. Either way, they come out of this as a corrupt, arrogant bunch of operatives who believe they are above the law; or, worse, as incompetent boobs who had no clue that releasing this info early to some people would have a dramatic impact on stock markets."
Corrupt or Incompetent that also describes PM PM in the Adscam Scandal. As Finance Minister he new nothing, Corrupt or incompetent? As Top Liberal in Quebec he new nothing about adscam, corrupt or incompetent ? As Prime Minister he new nothing about anything (maybe wind mills the way he flails his hands) corrupt or incompetent?
Posted by: capt_bob at December 31, 2005 12:03 PM (ZJrqf)
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Great Blog! I added you to my site.
Posted by: Paulmartin at December 31, 2005 12:53 PM (v+Ru0)
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Corrupt, entitled and arrogant--there is nothing incompetent about them--it is their arrogance that has lead to this disclosure. They have assumed for the last decade that Canadians are incompetent and lazy--they see themselves as above the law and completely in charge of their destiny. It is only because of bloggers that this has come to light in the first place. It is not the first time this scenario has happened in recent times--remember the Petrofina/Petrocanada buying and insider trading? They got away with it then. There was no one to keep their feet to the fire. Times have changed--some Canadians are watching and remembering and speaking up.
Obviously they see the elderly as easy pickings--first the Veteran's pension money and now ITs. No more--the bloggers are on to them--the MSM is playing catch-up
Keep up the good fight--our turn is coming.
Posted by: George at December 31, 2005 01:04 PM (vwbnF)
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And yet, capt bob, the Liberals still lead in the polls. What does that tell you about Canadian voters? What would it tell the rest of the world about Canada if the Liberals win the next election?
Posted by: Ed Minchau at December 31, 2005 01:14 PM (pPVQ0)
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Ed, I sit bewildered seeing that the Liberals are still in the lead in polls, not by much but still in the lead.
There is still time for the PC's to bury the Fiberals. Hopefully this latest scandal of Income Trust, will make some of those yet undecided voters lean towards a PC vote.
If the Liberals do retrain power, I believe we will see the Quebec seperatists make that final push and perhaps this time successfully to leave Confederation. I also believe the seperatist movement in Alberta will gain huge momentum. A win for the Liberals will leave this once great country more devided than ever.
Harper truly needs to make the next few weeks count, especially in "vote rich" Ontario.
As for what another Liberal win will say about Canadian voters, I'm sure everyone will have an opinion on that, but I will reserve my answer until after the election. As for the way the rest of the world would think of Canada, well I suspect the Americans will not be thrilled, and I won't hazard a guess at what other nations might think.
Posted by: Rottigirl at December 31, 2005 01:51 PM (Uagor)
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Is'nt it wonderful how Stephen Harper has learned to be the consumate politician in such a short time? By letting the Dippers carry the can on this one he has outfoxed the Liebrals at their own game. By his actions he is showing his true colours- a real Statesman by any measure.I used to think he was just getting lucky; now I know he is the real deal. Keep up the good work all you bloggers, it can and will make a difference. I am so hopeful that the momentum he has built up will carry through till Jan 23.
Posted by: Dave P from Campbell River at December 31, 2005 02:30 PM (dHmML)
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We talk about the christian vote, the gay vote, the womens vote, but there is a block of voters out there that we never talk about. The Ignorant Vote. These people are the reason the Libs still lead in the polls. They go about their lives clueless as to the political issues of the day, and are happy to be so. These are the people who say "Harper is scary!" but then when pressed to, can't elaborate. These are the people who can't tell you who Gomery is or name their MP. Until we drag them kicking and screaming into a discussion of the issues, Lib support probably won't drop much.
Then again, I may be a wee bit cynical.
Posted by: at December 31, 2005 02:43 PM (GIc25)
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I'm not at all sure that John McKay's going on TV to say what the tax policy was (and getting it wrong) was a bungle. It probably caused a lot of smaller investors, and some not so small, to make decisions that resulted in lower prices at the right time and more profit for "those in the know, the Liberal "friends" who were tipped off.
But I would not want to be those "friends" right about now. They are the easiest targets for the RCMP investigation. Their actions are a matter of record and it will be their emails and phone records that the RCMP will look at first.
Nor would I want to be the ones who tipped them off because some of the investors who profited will surely turn and become a witness for the prosecution to save their own skin.
This whole thing is going to blow sky high.
And don't forget. A private lawsuit will also get most of these sordid details into the record. Whether the RCMP investigation bears fruit or not I bet there are some lawyers right about now making plans to either represent a few of the individuals or companies who suffered losses or launch a class action lawsuit on their behalf. This is not like the sponsorship scandal. We have victims that are easily identified here.
Posted by: John Crittenden at December 31, 2005 04:32 PM (q3a5q)
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Yes indeed! The Ignorant Vote. These 'voters' have been interviewed 'ad nauseam' on CPAC and seem to need to grin mindlessly when being asked questions. I guess they think they defend their ignorance by making it all 'a joke'.
It is sad to think people gave their lives to defend the right of fools like this to vote. However, I recently heard that the levels of functional illiteracy in Canada are much higher than one would think. This may be their problem.
These people cannot read so will not be frequenting sites like this. They probably have no interest in the history and current affairs of their country so cannot understand how important it is to to be informed when casting a vote.
They probably do not read newspapers, so editorials, letters to the editor, and even political ads go over their heads. They get a little 'catch phrase' fed to them like "Stephen Harper is scary" and the Conservatives have a hidden agenda" it sounds good to them to be able to spout this back on command. It makes them feel as if they have some idea of what is going on.
It's simplistic, it's untrue, its cynical Liberal garbage but it has worked.
Perhaps those catch phrases should be replaced with some others, perhaps with a rhyme? Remember how well rhyming lines were remembered minds of a certain jury.
I also agree that if the Liberals get in again there will be a greater chance of the country splitting apart as the West will want out, as it cannot get in. The MSM have a lot to answer for too.
Posted by: H.L. at December 31, 2005 04:59 PM (CzF/w)
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Some people simply defy logic and reason. At a recent social event, a liberal tried to convince me that corruption was a natural part of the human condition. As it was unavoidable, therefore it was acceptable. He justified his vote by this pearl of logic... "Better the devil you know than the angel you don't, right?"
Are people uninformed because they've become so accused to corruption that they cease to pay attention anymore. It's just another Fiberal scandal... same as last month... and the month before... ad nauseam. Eventually, they just tune it all out. If so, how can anyone break through?
Personally, I thought the last election was a test and Canada failed. This election is the rewrite.
Posted by: Mac at December 31, 2005 05:28 PM (tjF+R)
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The 'ignorant' voter is the most important voter of all.
I read somewhere (can't remember where) that in the 2000 election, among people who had made up their minds before entering the "voting booth", 32% of these people voted Liberal, and 31% voted Canadian Alliance.
Of course, the Liberals earned a lot more votes from the 'ignorant' voter than did the Canadian Alliance, so they cruised once more to an ewasy Majority.
It's hard to get the message out to ignorant prople, but apparently easy to scare them.
Posted by: Jay at December 31, 2005 05:34 PM (wuVf2)
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The "ignorant" will show up at the polls on Jan 23rd and want to know where all the beer and popcorn went.
I think we give ourselves too much discredit. Polls are reactive, not projective. There has not been much polling done since the Dec 23rd, and I wonder if a lot of Canadians have been paying limited attention due to the Christmas season. I would be more interested in what happens after Jan 4th, when people get back to work and discover what has been going on over the last week. The Liberals internally are aready in full panic mode; as Kinsella says, their campaign is over. I suspect most Canadians will discover in the next couple of weeks how embarassing the Liberal party has become.
Posted by: john at December 31, 2005 06:00 PM (DdgrK)
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I notice that the NY Times (Ian Austen) published this story of the ITScandal today. Interesting that he didn't include the issue that the U.S. should be most concerned about in this mess...He doesn't mention the effect this alleged leak had on the interlisted securities (Canada and the 3 U.S. exchanges). If he studied the volume and price action for November 23rd he'd know this isn't isolated to Canadian Income Trusts. The dividend paying stocks also benefitted from this alleged leak... BCE, etc...Surprised the NY Times wouldn't want to investigate this story to the full degree.
Posted by: ann at December 31, 2005 06:20 PM (3Hmnf)
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Liberal campaign chant will be:
WE DIDN'T DO IT
YOU DIDN'T SEE US DO IT
AND YOU CAN'T PROVE WE DID IT!
And there will be a lot of voters who will beleive them. "a--ho--s"
Posted by: capt_bob at December 31, 2005 08:03 PM (ZJrqf)
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Thank God for blogs. This would not be a story at all if you people did not carry the ball. The way I see this is the major media had this stuff but kept it under wraps until the bloggers forced their hands. Last night, Dec 30, I watched 3 newscasts at eleven PM . CBC covered this as the second item after another murder in TO, a story already old. CTV covered it as a secondary story and Global didn't even touch it; it's frightening that our mainstream media can be so easily manipulated and on the other hand are so willing to manipulate the Canadian public. Canada owes you guys big time. Thanks again
Posted by: at December 31, 2005 10:51 PM (ZJLWA)
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I've given up on the mainstream news media long ago.
BTW, Happy New Year Angry. Thanks for Angry in the Great White North. Best of everything in 2006.
Posted by: John Crittenden at January 01, 2006 12:04 AM (y5/ki)
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Did you happen to notice Sheila CoppsÂ’ column in the Toronto Sun today? SheÂ’s giving bloggers credit for staying with the Income Trust alleged leak story. She also has some interesting historical points that the RCMP should be interested in?
Posted by: ann at January 01, 2006 11:47 AM (KS/YT)
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Goody Goody said: What/which Party? Outside of the Party? New Year's Eve Party?
No. Liberal Party & other unnamed people outside the Liberal Party. Unnamed????? Who are these people?
Quote: "and ""one or two other senior people outside the party."". Ralph Goodale.
Name those "one or two senior people", Martin/Goodale.Canadian taxpayers demand to know their names.
Damning quote damning Martin, Goodale, & the Liberal Party. Down with Liberal corruption.>>>
"Asked if anyone outside the department of finance was involved in the decision-making process on the income trust announcement, Goodale said it was a "very, very closely held" decision, involving senior staff members and "one or two other senior people outside the party."
http://www.rapp.org/url/?BQOHNYTN
Posted by: maz2 at January 01, 2006 12:51 PM (qnZJQ)
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Keep on truckin'!!! It's the only hope Canada has is
with blogs that keep ahead on the MSM!!!
Posted by: Richard Wolfe at January 01, 2006 08:31 PM (dzPci)
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December 30, 2005
What does "Need to know" mean?
When information is classified as "need to know", it means that you will be told the information if you require the information to do your job.
I used to work on military systems, and "need to know" had a very straightforward definition. Can you do your job without knowing that information? If the answer is "yes", you don't need to know.
I knew stuff my managers didn't know. I needed to know in order to write the software. They didn't need to know because they cared about schedules and all they needed to do their job was a progress report from me. It all made sense to us.
Paul Martin invoked that phrase when he explained why he was told of the decision not to tax income trusts well ahead of the announcement:
"I knew and I'm one of them. The fact is, that the people who would be on a need-to-know basis would have that information," said Martin.
I would be interested to know who in the PMO would need to know this piece of tax policy ahead of time, and why exactly? What part of their job could they not perform without having that knowledge well ahead of time?
Heck, why would Paul Martin need to know? I can't think of a reason, actually.
Maybe a speechwriter would need a heads up to help prepare a speech. But if you were serious about compartmentalizing the information to avoid these sorts of problems, you would simply have your speechwriter prepare two speeches -- one to explain why income trusts needed to be taxed, and one to announce that they would not.
The concept of "need to know" is really quite simple. What would you have done differently today had you known about the decision not to tax income trusts versus what you normally would have done?
If the only thing you can think of if that you would not have placed one or more phone calls to some friends of yours on Bay Street, then you really didn't need to know.
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Need to know == In the Loop == A term used to describe the compartmentalization of sensitive information.
In PaulM's Leak-of-Trust case, I'd guess that Tim "Comfy Fur" Murphy, Scott "Beer-and-Popcorn" Reid, and David "Polls-R-Us" Herle would be in the loop. Warren Kinsella decidedly would not be, although he did lobby Finance (on behalf of the Aspers) to change the income trust decision.
Posted by: cb at December 30, 2005 09:53 PM (8Qug8)
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Here is something interesting to know....
David Akin @ CTV news blog has some a interesting interview with exRCMP commisioner Norman Inkster
It's clear something was up in order to have a investigation from the RCMP..
Posted by: Tric at December 30, 2005 10:21 PM (Uagor)
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Clearly we voters do not need to know.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 10:32 PM (O+BVi)
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Not to mention he looks like he told a big fat lie when he said it, check out my blog!
Posted by: Derek at December 30, 2005 10:48 PM (yz8rU)
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Well, it makes for good blogging, but the PMO would need to know. In both capacities.
As the real PMO, it's a decision that decides gov't policy. As the Liberal Brain-Trust (tm), it's a decision that is political.
I don't know if that's pro-Liberal or not.
Cheers,
lance
Posted by: Lance at December 30, 2005 10:57 PM (DjQJo)
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"Need to know" also includes the communications people in each office, including the guy from Goodale's office who made the phone call to the "old, confused" fellow whose organization changed their story on when they heard the details about the announcement.
Posted by: Patrick at December 31, 2005 02:08 AM (u0igE)
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Need to know....hmmmmmmm....I'm sure that would include those in the PMs office responsible for spreading Liberal largesse.
Posted by: Paul at December 31, 2005 09:28 AM (nlevv)
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Was John MCkay one of those in the "Need to Know" group? He seemed to "know" something different when he appeared on Newmans show with Solberg on Nov 23 in the afternoon.
Posted by: maggie menzies at December 31, 2005 12:21 PM (OEptf)
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The MSM of course misses the obvious, Goodale met with some members of the Investment Dealers Association the day before he announced his decision concerning income trusts. Goodale refuses to name specifically who these people from the IDA are. It's no bloody mystery as to who told what, but to whom he told.
Posted by: at January 01, 2006 03:56 PM (gedLv)
Posted by: Bruce Randall at January 01, 2006 04:00 PM (gedLv)
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Paul Martin: Can't say "No"
Now how hard is it to say, "No, I didn't do it"?
For Paul Martin, apparently he'll pull a muscle than answer with a simple "No".
more...
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Lets try this one
1) He knows there was a leak...many people know there was a leak, it is hard to deny
2) From his time at finance he knows it did NOT come from the professionals in finance
3) He suspects it came from one of his people, he may know, he may not....he will leave his options open till he is TOLD who did it, then under the bus they go.
PM PM has no interest in seeing this thing resolved immeadiately, unless one of his guys steps forward and says he did it, i.e. throw themselves under the bus. Final possiblity it was leaked as a general strategy and that makes PMPM culpable. He wont go to jail, just look like a bonehead in front of the nation.
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 08:51 PM (upnxu)
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Steve, you *own* this story. Exactly like the last few stories; I'm beginning to detect a trend.
Cheers!
Posted by: DSM at December 30, 2005 09:20 PM (BsykB)
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Follow the money. The individuals that profited from the leak have very specific attachments to the Liberal government. For instance, the connection to Medisys is directly between PMPM and his doctor. Let PMPM explain that away.
Posted by: Marc at December 30, 2005 09:27 PM (J/MKj)
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Follow the money indeed.
Will we (taxpayers) ever see a list of exactly WHOM profited in this last minute bonanza?
Posted by: Zilla at December 30, 2005 09:55 PM (f3VhK)
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Angry, there is a fourth scenario: Paul has no idea what is going on. Occam's Razor.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 10:27 PM (O+BVi)
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Changing tax rules isn't be done lightly. A number of researchers and tax law experts needed to be involved and/or consulted.
Once the ramifications of possible policy changes were used to reduce the options, the PMO and Finance Minister made the decision.
PMPM planned to spend as much time possible (before his minority fell) making "good news" announcements aka buying votes. This policy was only one of numerous planned. PMPM acknowledged as much when the opposition complained of the rush of announcements just before the vote which toppled the government.
PMPM and party strategists knew their time was limited so they were prioritizing which announcements would have the most impact.
Logic would say therefore PMPM and literally dozens of his cohorts knew about this policy announcement well in advance.
It is possible, through forensic accounting, to trace who bought what, when and where... but finding the person-in-the-know who tipped them off will be all but impossible... and proving it will be impossible. All of the parties involved are Fiberals and we know how honest and forthcoming they are, right?
Posted by: Mac at December 30, 2005 11:34 PM (tjF+R)
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Say what you will, Paul Martin is an honest man. Which is why he couldn't, in all good conscience, say no to the question. After all, he can't be certain that his calls that afternoon to the party's Laurier Club didn't, you know, perhaps, possibly reveal details that, maybe, perhaps, shouldn't have been revealed.
Besides, they had to save Canada from Canadians!
Posted by: Patrick at December 31, 2005 02:31 AM (u0igE)
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Marc,
You have hit the nail on the head. I would like to know, if the leak didn't come from the PMO, why the personal doctor of PMPM and his provate health care corporation benefitted from this little tidbit.
Cheers
Gerry
Posted by: Gerryinmontreal at December 31, 2005 02:52 AM (1Mhqk)
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John,
I truly like your take on this. The most obvious explanation is that PMPM has absolutely no idea as to what is going on in his office (much less his government), so the obvious answer is that that the most logical conclusion is correct. (Can we expect another national television broadcast of apology and begging???)
As for Pere Noel (Santa Claus); that would be Ralph Goodale; I think that he is honest but also the perfect example of the Peter Principle. He reached his level of his incompetence long ago.
Cheers
Gerry
Posted by: gerryinmontreal at December 31, 2005 03:15 AM (1Mhqk)
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I read in Warren Kinsella's site this morning that the liberal campaign isn't headed for the reef.......they hit it and are abondoning ship as we speak.
The rats are the first to jump....lets see who goes to the media first.
Posted by: gimbol at December 31, 2005 07:45 AM (uDj9I)
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Come on now people...why would PMPM have any knowledge of leaks by his staffers at the PMO...this is the guy that was Finance Minister for 10 years when millions of tax dollars disappeared and he saw and heard nothing. What we are now witnessing is PMPM building another case where"plausible deniability" will become the mantra, and of course the MSM will sugar coat this, just as they have with other cases of Liberal scandal.
Posted by: MFGB/Nova Scotiaa at December 31, 2005 07:59 AM (Z8r2+)
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Reminds me of Fonzie on Happy Days trying to say, "I was wwww-rrrrr-oooo-nnn-g". Just can't get the words out.
Posted by: Shane O. at December 31, 2005 01:59 PM (RIQCo)
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Could the Medisys windfall profits gained by the help of the PMO be part of a plan to have Medisys Clincis coast to coast? Not the the libs have hidden agendas.
Posted by: Jeanette at January 01, 2006 11:04 PM (LywX+)
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The Income Trust Scandal: The Liberal Party website grinds to a halt
The Conservative Party website is headlining the Income Trust Scandal, focusing on the effect on the Liberal Party:
>>>Income Trust Scandal Rocks Liberals<<<
The NDP website is headlining the Income Trust Scandal, focusing on what the NDP sees as Ralph Goodale's imminent resignation:
>>>When will he step aside? Ralph watch: 2 days<<<
The Liberal Party website is headlining the Income Trust Scandal, focusing on Ralph Goodale's innate honesty:
>>> <*cough* *cough*><<<
Take two!
The Liberal Party website is headlining the Income Trust Scandal, focusing on the lack of solid evidence:
>>> <*cough* *cough*><<<
Take three!
The Liberal Party website is headlining the Income Trust Scandal, focusing on the way the opposition parties have blown this out of proportion:
>>> <*cough* *cough*><<<
OK, the Liberal Party website has remain completely unchanged. Frozen in time from December 24. Even Scott Feschuk's blog has not been updated in days.
Why does this matter? The party website is a means to get a message out without the selective filtering of the main stream media. On any major issue, and the Income Trust Scandal certainly counts, the party has to explain to its supporters (and to the curious visitor) their side of the story.
So what can we make of the fact that the Liberals are entirely silent via the website?
One possible reason is that the Liberals are keeping to the promise not to campaign through the Christmas break, and that includes updating the website. I don't buy it. First, Paul Martin has been electioneering in Montreal. Second, the scandal is just too important, especially to leave the Conservative and NDP attacks unanswered.
Perhaps a faction that believes that ignoring the problem means it will go away in a couple of days. I happen to think that strategy will fail, but besides my opinion, Paul Martin has been telling reporters that he stands by his minister, and Ralph Goodale has been saying there was no leak. If this faction was running the show, Paul Martin and Ralph Goodale would both be saying something along the lines that no comment should be made until the RCMP delivers its findings.
I think this silence reflects the confusion within the Liberal Party itself. At the highest levels, or so it is rumoured, the strategists are at odds about what to do. What to do about Goodale. What to do about the press. What do to about the opposition.
What to do about a campaign that seems to have come apart at the seams.
Until they can decide on a strategy and can craft a message, the Liberals will have no message to deliver. That leaves the field open to the Conservatives and the NDP to frame the debate. In the meantime, I will continue to watch the website. When it updates, it will be the first clue, and perhaps the best clue, to tell us who is running the show now.
In the meantime, the lack of official reaction does not reflect well on the ability of Paul Martin's Liberals to lead in a crisis.
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I'm not sure the Liberals can do anything. They were all laid off for the Christmas break, weren't they? If they started working they would have to go back on the party payroll. The public servants would risk being accused of using public paycheques to campaign.
Posted by: Kevin Steel at December 30, 2005 06:32 PM (rqetm)
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Now they're playing by the rules?!
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 30, 2005 06:34 PM (tAhML)
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I think it is the Liberal version of "Deer in the Headlights"........... "Pigs at the Trough"
Posted by: Syncrodox at December 30, 2005 06:47 PM (Uagor)
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I'm with Kevin on this one.
They were quite public about not allowing the troops to "double-dip". On the other hand, the work week would end tonight, so someone could get back to work as soon as tomorrow. Of course, given the e-mails you reported looking for a cash infusion, maybe they can't afford to pay anyone until next year?...
Posted by: Another Sean at December 30, 2005 06:57 PM (D5s1m)
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Angry, nothing gets published because no-one is in charge. Panic city. Remember Paul explaining how Belinda was not a political decision? Everyone laughs out loud.
My bet is they is looking for a fall guy. Goodale apparently does not want to be the loyal soldier, so they are looking for a mid level flunkie to take the fall. Someone high enough to pacify the wolves, but low enough not to tear apart the party. Someone who is not a joke. Problem is, as time goes by, you need a bigger name to prevent the guffaws. Bye bye Goodale. Bye bye Saskatchewan.
I'm guessing the party is already coming apart at the seams; everybody in the criminal conspiracy formerly known as the Liberal Party of Canada is calculating how to protect their own butt. Who can you trust?
There are Liberals trying to figure out exactly what the RCMP knows. Be a shame to sacrifice a leaker only to discover that the cops are looking in another place. But if you give up the right guy, he goes directly to jail, and his boss, well his boss's career is over.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 07:14 PM (U7UUs)
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Martin----speaking to reporters after a visit to a Montreal mosque---is reported (about 5pm MST Friday 30th Dec) on CBC website as saying "several people" in the PMO knew about the announcement re: Income Trusts beforehand, including himself. This, he said, is normal. He went on to defend Goodale again, and say that this was all based on Oppositon allegations in an election campaign.
I think we've just seen the new line for the rest of the campaign: anything the other side says is merely campaign rhetoric. What WE say is the truth because we are the State, the State is US!
Posted by: Patrick B at December 30, 2005 07:25 PM (DnhKB)
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Nixon Martin?
It's the 6 day Gap.
Are the lights on in the Langevin Block? Is G-G on standby? Is the Canal frozen yet? Who is tending the red telephone? Where is Goodale? Is there a crisis in the governance of Canada? Crisis watch?
Canadian history is being written by bloggers.
Posted by: maz2 at December 30, 2005 07:48 PM (UCJG8)
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Paul is right in the respect that opposition allegations are campaign rhetoric. He can trust voting public is still in the mood for stonewalling.
As long as we trust Paul, what can go wrong?
But RCMP criminal investigations are not rhetoric. The police don't trust anybody. Or does Paul know something about the cops that we don't?
Somehow it is fitting that the word "Trust" goes to the heart of the election.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 07:53 PM (egbVw)
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"When asked if the alleged leak could have come from the PMO, the prime minister didn't give a direct answer."
Is Ralph refusing to fall on his sword??? Have things gotten so bad that PM is contemplating sacrificing someone from the PMO to stop the bleeding???
Will it turn out to have been an "innocent" mistake??? ( Staffer A... " I happened to mention it to my dear, sweet Grandma who only trades on sundays"..........)
If this continues to have legs watch for the pre-emptive "confession" along with the suitable dollop of feigned contrition.
Posted by: Syncrodox at December 30, 2005 08:23 PM (Uagor)
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Anybody with a "confession" better have a real good lawyer. Or find a liberal judge. heh heh!
Go thou post haste to Kinsella. Sir Warren sayeth the campaign tis done. The kingdom rejoiceth.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 08:49 PM (/49yu)
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And still 35 percent of the Canadian voting public will vote Liberal...........how stupid is that?????????
Posted by: themaj at December 31, 2005 01:08 PM (Uagor)
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Re: mid-election Liberal party scandals, don't forget that the Liberal-appointed Supreme Court is a scandal that hangs on Paul Martin. See analysis below:
THE SUPREME COURTÂ’S ORGY DECISION
Dr Ruth E Dubin, in her letter to the Post, pointed out correctly that there are indeed harmful consequences that can come from an excess of multi-partner sexual activity, and that some practices have higher levels of harmful effect than others. Sexually transmitted diseases are serious life-altering diseases, and are particularly pernicious because people are often unaware they have them and so transmit them onwards far and wide in a multiple-partner lifestyle. The aids epidemic has reached holocaust proportions and many of us older people remember when it was a rare disease restricted to a small particular population. One must assume the judges of the Supreme Court, appointed mostly by Liberal Party PM’s, also remember how rare aids once was, and so it is particularly puzzling how they would come up with a ‘no harm’-based decision on the question of the legality of orgies in public business places.
What people do in the privacy of their own home is one thing, but what people do for profit under a publicly-granted business license is another matter. A for-profit business has a built-in promotional interest and agenda, and so wife-swapping and orgies in a business establishment context are indeed public business. Despite the justicesÂ’ views, the fact remains that the more multiple-partner sex, the more chance of the spread of dozens of very harmful diseases. Judicial wisdom used to mitigate the spread of such harms would have resulted in a decision that left such sexual practices in the privacy of the home, rather than opening Canada up to for-profit clubs of this nature.
There are countries in the world, (Thailand comes to mind), that foster a significant sex industry as a way of generating foreign exchange in their economies. Such countries are also afflicted with very high rates of aids and other harms attendant to such an industry anywhere. In legalizing not only ‘sex for profit’ with this decision, but also group sex, that is orgies organized by businesses for profit, the Supreme Court (appointed by mostly Liberal governments), has allowed the advent of a whole new industry in Canada that will serve to turn Canada into one of those nations legally catering to the international sex trade.
The business models of the orgy clubs that will now spring up possibly in every mall, and certainly in every port city, will follow the logic of business competition and finally consolidation into two or three brand-name chains, as happens in any new lucrative market niche created, in this case, thanks to our Liberal-appointed Supreme Court. It is conceivable that Penthouse will run one chain and Hustler will offer a different brand of ‘swinging’ in another chain of franchises. The values of Paul Martin’s Liberal Party reflected in the Supreme Court appointments this party has made has opened up the possibility that Canada will become one of the world’s premiere sex-tourism destinations where the public advertising of orgy-based business establishments becomes part of Canada’s international tourism ‘cachet’.
Expansion of this new industry created by this liberal Supreme Court decision will be according to ‘what the market will bear’, and the market can be legally exponentially expanded by both advertising (pro-orgy propaganda) and solicitation of a vast international clientele. Will any of this create ‘harm’ to Canadian society and public health? The liberal one party state appointed justices of the court think not. If Canadians agree with this new sex industry trend in the Canadian identity and Canadian values, then vote for Paul Martin and the Liberal Party that has ruled Canada for most of its history.
Posted by: edward mills at December 31, 2005 03:27 PM (c4Z9/)
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Here here Edward!
Couldn't have said it better myself.
Posted by: Brad in Barrhead at December 31, 2005 07:04 PM (0AQqd)
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A mid-winter thaw that could lead to a flood
Look at the regional breakdown in the SES CPAC nightly polling numbers from December 28 to December 29, the time period over which the Income Trust Scandal blew wide open:
Atlantic Canada: The Liberals drop stay steady at 42, while the Conservatives poll into a tie, going from 37 to 42, picking up support at the expense of the NDP, who went from 17 to 13. Undecided went up from 17 to 19, suggesting a lot of folks are reconsidering their support, which can only be good news for the Conservatives under the circumstances.
Quebec: The BQ maintains a lock at 53, while Liberals jitter at 30 to 31 points support. Frankly, it's hard to imagine the numbers getting any worse for the Liberals in Quebec.
Ontario: The Liberals drop from 46 to 44, while the Conservatives move up from 35 to 37, and the NDP from 14 to 15. Definite motion in the right direction for the Conservatives.
Western Canada: The Liberals tumble from 34 to 29, and the Conservatives continue to pull away, moving from 43 to 47.
And the leadership indicators, which before this week was where the Liberals maintained a constant lead. Not anymore:
Trust: Martin plummets from 25 to 15, Harper moves slightly from 19 to 20, and undecided leaps from 12 to 16, suggesting an opportunity to change minds.
Competence: Martin actually has a bit of good news, moving from 25 to 27, but Harper gains more, from 18 to 21, which is interesting since there is no way to judge Harper's competence as PM.
Vision: Another massive hit for Martin, losing one third of his strength here, going from 30 to 20. Like before, Harper stays essentially unchanged (23 to 24) while undecided jumps from 15 to 21. Another group of people taking a serious second look at their preconceptions.
Leadership Index Score: This is an overall measure, asking the respondent to consider who would be the best PM, and it suggests that Paul Martin has a serious problem. His score crashes from 80 to 62, while Stephen Harper continues to climb slowly but surely, going from 60 to 65.
Harper actually beats Martin when an overall perception of leadership is measured.
The various polls for support seem to have been stuck since the beginning of the campaign. What we haven't noticed is that a combination of a positive issues-oriented Conservative campaign combined with a negative and reactive Liberal campaign marked with gaffes and now a huge scandal have acted on Canadians to thaw attitudes that have been frozen for years.
My understanding is that a thaw, especially a precipitous one, can lead to a flood. Or so I've heard.
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Actually, just about the entire poll shift came in the West, where the poll numbers are still not quite with the vote was last year (Cons +20, SES poll had Cons +1
.
My guess is, Harper had actually made quite a bit of progress "down east" for a while, but it was camouflaged by a surprising Liberal spike in BC. If BC is now back to normal, this could be a long month for Martin.
And heaven help Martin if this is because it's just dawning on BC voters that this is a federal election rather than a provincial.
Posted by: D.J. McGuire at December 30, 2005 01:27 PM (AXgiz)
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Hey Angry,
The Liberals low water mark is 28% (Turner)
The high mark is 41-44%, even Trudeau couldn't get higher than that. So 35% is the midway point,there is alot of bleeding that can happen.
Harper needs to keep the boot on their throat this time, without looking angry.
Posted by: Derek at December 30, 2005 01:31 PM (yz8rU)
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To get these results, the results of the 400 polled last night had to be Liberals 29, Conservatives 38, NDP 14, Bloq 13.
There's a problem with the SES numbers for Ontario: They don't add up to 100; they add up to 102. SES screwed up at least one of the numbers, I suspect that of the Greens. Taking only the Conservative and Liberal numbers, and making the assumption they're correct, they would show that of the approximately 130 respondents from Ontario, an equal number answered Conservative as answered Liberal.
This is, of course, meaningless because of the small sample size. However, it will become meaningful when tonight's and Monday's results are factored in. If, indeed, the Conservatives are ahead by more than 5 points, it's a whole new ball game. We could even see the Liberals dropping while the NDP gains. Fourth party status anyone?
Posted by: Patrick at December 30, 2005 02:39 PM (u0igE)
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The trend lines for Ontario show a crossover point about Jan 20th ... great time!
Atlantic is even worse.
Yeah, Angry, it's the underlying trends that are material. All I can say, thanks for a long campaign because this is all about changing long-rooted perceptions.
Posted by: Erik Sorenson at December 30, 2005 03:00 PM (KmUe2)
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The Liberals are blowing this campaign BIG-TIME. It's almost unbelievable how badly this is going for them.
Regarding what you said above:
"Atlantic Canada: The Liberals drop stay steady at 42, while the Conservatives poll into a tie, going from 37 to 42, picking up support at the expense of the NDP, who went from 17 to 13."
I wonder if this is quite accurate: "picking up support at the expense of the NDP". This makes it sound as though NDP supporters are switching to Conservative, a prospect I find somewhat unlikely due to their divergent political positions.
I realize this may not be quite what you meant, and I'm not trying to split hairs. Rather, a different, perhaps more accurate, take on this has interesting implications: maybe what's actually happening is that Liberal supporters are switching to the Conservatives, while NDP supporters are switching to the Liberals out of simple fear of a Conservative government.
If this is indeed what is happening, it is unpleasant for NDP supporters like myself. That NDP supporters would switch to the Libs after an annoucement of a criminal investigation into the Libs seems to indicate cynical political maneuvering by NDP supporters. I sincerely hope this is not the case, but if it is, I have a simple question for these folks: WHY? Why have so little faith in the party that best represents your beliefs that you would switch to a corrupt party? Why allow yourself to be swayed so much by fear?
I find the prospect of a Conservative government as worrisome as the next NDPer. But voting for a party that is corrupt, incompetent and devoid of leadership is cynical, demeaning and undemocratic. It's one thing to vote Liberal to keep the Conservatives out when the Liberals have sensible policies, a strong leader and aren't defrauding the nation. But after Adscam, and now THIS??? That's going too far.
Posted by: Ade at December 30, 2005 03:03 PM (4p91Z)
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Patrick,
Agree 100%, SES is a lagging poll. Like batting averages one good game wont change the average much....but a sustained streak will.
As for Liberal 4th party status. Yes there is a scenario in which that plays out, a scenario that could become more likely. if there were 2 weeks to go and this happened I would think a good chance, 3 weeks is a long time.
Dont count chickens yet. We shall see how the Liberal campaign plays the nasty stuff. If they do it wrong then they are toast.
Isnt there another debate? Thats the one people will watch...and what is the format. Martin is good at the one off.
It might be Harper playing defence at that point, protecting a lead. But make no mistake most voters will be evaluating hm for vision and prime minister jelly.
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 03:10 PM (upnxu)
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Ade,
I could never understand the Dippers fear of a Conservative government lead by Harper.
A populist Prime Minister over the elietist should be much more comfortable to the Dippers.
I mean really what is it, the lower taxes?, resolution of trade disputes that mean securing union jobs?, Giving back to Canadians their own money to spend on daycare or beer and popcorn or what ever the hell they want?
The NDP started out as a populist movement just as Reform did, Harper is the only leader that carries the populist flag of this generation. It is 1958 all over again. We can hope
Posted by: Derek at December 30, 2005 03:25 PM (yz8rU)
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I'm not exactly keen on the way SES collects the "trust", "vision" and "competence" stats: they appear to only allow respondents to give one answer. That is, if a respondent thinks two of the leaders are trustworthy, and less so the others, they have to flip a coin to choose a "most trustworthy" selection.
Still, it's nice to see Harper finally come out on top in the composite scoring.
Posted by: Paul O at December 30, 2005 04:36 PM (80rNn)
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As long as Harper & Co stay to the high road, whatever 'fear & smear' the Fiberals come up with will look old, tired and desperate.
One thing I never understood is how the pollsters pick who they call. It can't be totally random. They must have a list of their favorites or something. I'm listed but I've never been called, nor have my circle of conservative friends... or maybe they're like Ottawa under the Fiberals... they don't want to hear what BC has to say.
Posted by: Mac at December 30, 2005 05:36 PM (tjF+R)
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I never actually believe the National Polls,but take them with a grain of salt.In talking with many folks from different walks,there is a strong distrust and disgust with the Liberals. They will get down and dirty. Harper must keep to his game plan. Keep jabbing,the opening will come.
Posted by: Al. Churchill at December 30, 2005 05:42 PM (lQzYH)
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NDP to PC shift in Atlantic Canada is not too far fetched. Tories here have been usually "red" Tories anyway. The anti-Grit vote might move in whatever direction it needs to move to get the job done. The Reform/Alliance candidate in one of New Brunswick's ridings in 1997 and 2000 was a very proud and loyal labour union member (CEP). No problem, no sleepless nights.
The SES numbers, as a 3-day rolling average, show a dramatic shift - as Patrick has already pointed out. I can't wait to see the next two chapters.
Posted by: Brent at December 30, 2005 05:44 PM (sCWlO)
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I asked SES whatpercentage of people they phoned actually answered their poll. They told me 20% on a good day. So the polls tell us that 80 % of the people have not even given an answer and of those that do 18% are undecided. The media will never tell anyone this fact because they would lose their readers and viewers. I think it was Dief who defined polls properly the only thing that they are good for is they give dogs something to do.
Posted by: Barrie at December 30, 2005 06:00 PM (rp6r3)
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Barrie, I don't disagree that the 80% no-response is a problem. However, it's not as much of a problem as you might think.
Polling theory is based on the principle that if you get enough people, randomly chosen, to express their opinion on a subject, it will reflect the larger population. The thing that is counterintuitive about it is you need the same number of respondents whether your larger population is 100 thousand, 100 million, or a billion. China can be polled with the same polling size as Edmonton. And the results will be very similar to other polls taken at the same time, 95% of the time.
This is achieved by having enough people that the extremes of the poll are unable to influence the overall conclusions. They cancel each other out. For example, in every poll sample, there are people who deliberately give the opposite answer to what they really think. There are people who answer strategically rather than according to their own opinion. And so on.
Therefore, as long as you have a sufficiently large sample size, randomly selected, you should have as accurate a poll as you would if everyone answered the phone, and everyone answered truthfully.
The problem isn't the 20% response (although that plays havoc with their costs). The problem is with their methodology in ensuring that in that sample size, they haven't skewed the results by, for example, only including people who are home during the day, or who are predominately of one gender, or who are predominately urban or predominately rural or religious or non-religious. When a pollster says they sampled 1200 people, what they usually (but not always) mean is they sampled, say, 1700 people, then eliminated 500 from consideration because they're overrepresented in the sample. If, for example, they have ten people answer the poll from Nunavut, which would normally be represented by a single person in a 1200 person national poll, they have to determine which of the 10 should be included.
Every pollster resolves this problem in different ways. And rolling polls, being time sensitive, don't have the time to do it well. They make up for it by being able to show trends rather than conclusive results.
Posted by: Patrick at December 30, 2005 07:31 PM (u0igE)
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Captains Quarters had a poll at the start of the election, done for a US company by the Polling company Robbins that survayed 14,000 Canadians. Thjat poll showed that the CPC and the crooks were dead even at 32% That is probably the truest poll todate in this election. One would have to assume that the Liberals are in a lot worse shap today.
Posted by: Barrie at December 30, 2005 07:54 PM (rp6r3)
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Now it gets vicious
The Conservatives roar up the polls.
See Bourque for the latest:
click to englarge
So what does this mean? My prediction is that the hard-core will take over the Liberal war room. Voices of moderation, undermined by yet another ethics scandal, will fade into the background, or leave the organization altogether.
The hard-core will argue that if the attack had started already, the Liberals wouldn't be in this pickle. It doesn't make sense, but then there will be no one left to argue with them. Given free rein to win this election at any cost, we can expect things not just to get nasty, which everyone expected, but downright vicious.
Besides the obvious targets, the Conservatives and the NDP (and their friends and family), expect the media to feel the pressure. Behind the scenes probably, with editors getting calls warning them of dire consequences for access after the Liberals win in January if they don't play ball right now.
Bloggers, too, might have to worry. Given that blogging is new, it's hard to say what the Liberals will do. There are some obvious targets, like Warren Kinsella, but the rest of us have no access with which to form a credible threat. Perhaps they are planning punitive legislation to gag bloggers to be introduced after the Liberals win?
But I could be wrong.
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Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 11:58 AM (upnxu)
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Angry--I fear you are correct re the clamping down on bloggers--after all--can't have free speech in Canada now, can we?
The Liberals have unfettered access to the courts so they can break anyone at any time. With the Security Law they can spin it to look as if they are protecting Canadians from themselves. This same Law(I think it was C36) is in place but we read this morning that a pedophile who skipped bail in Florida is in the Ottawa region--how did he get through the border if the Security Law is working? It is more to clamp down on Canadians than it is 'terrorists' of any stripe.
We must make sure the Liberals cannot fix this election--that is what they will try to do--power at any cost. Democratic deficit indeed!
Posted by: George at December 30, 2005 12:12 PM (XWKwf)
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Angry,
You forgot one thing: Goodale's resignation. I expect the Grits to lay everything at his feet, tell him to fall on his sword, and then play the boil-has-been-lanced song from here on out.
Meanwhile, let me say, as an American who apparently is better known in the Canadian blogospher than my own, I would be shocked (but not surprised) if a post-election blog clampdown hits you guys. Should that happen, your neighbors (including yours truly) are prepared to stand on guard for thee.
Posted by: D.J. McGuire at December 30, 2005 12:27 PM (AXgiz)
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Your delusions of grandeur are amusing. Let me know when the Liberal Gestapo show up at your door and then I'll start to take this sort of consipiracy nonsense seriously.
Punative gagging of bloggers. Please.
Posted by: bob at December 30, 2005 12:37 PM (weGGh)
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Bob, how about when the Liberal Gestapo (RCMP) showed up at Ottawa Citizen report Juliet O'Neil's home after she had written a few articles about Maher Arar ?
Posted by: Ja at December 30, 2005 01:01 PM (wuVf2)
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Let me know when the Liberal Gestapo show up at your door and then I'll start to take this sort of consipiracy nonsense seriously.
Bob, judicial intimidation influenced a lot of Canadian bloggers during the Breault testimony back in the Spring. How far a stretch is it for limits to be put on what can be said in a blog, when they've already legislated 3rd party election advertising out of existence?
The threat of legal action is enough to make most law-abiding citizens take pause before they act --and it isn't always the threat of police raids that cause people to back down -- it's fear of income tax audits or other punitive measures that are not necessarily connected with the restricted activity.
Posted by: canadianna at December 30, 2005 01:28 PM (yrWgs)
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Bob
Start counting down the days, it is coming, I'd say by 2008.
Just look at the latest UN preposal to monitor the Internet. Crazy? Yes, but how hard would it be? Remember you dont' have to go after the bloggers, but the ISP's.
cheers
tom
Posted by: tomax7 at December 30, 2005 01:34 PM (CUIIz)
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From one of the 33 RCMP investigations
According to media reports, the RCMP actually investigated allegations that Paul Martin supporter Gurbax Singh Malhi was using to granting of ministerial permits as a way to arrange political and financial support for Martin's leadership campaign. The RCMP reportedly looked into the matter but closed it when witnesses refused to cooperate (Globe and Mail, March 10, 2005)
Posted by: gimbol at December 30, 2005 01:38 PM (zElnE)
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tomax7 is right-the days of unfettered internet access aare coming to an end.
Conspiracy? No. Reality? Yes.
If the Liberals are re elected, they will take action. After all blogs such this have proven to be the undoing of the Liberals and one thing about them - they sure as heck don't forget their enemies. Ask Sheila Copps. I'm no fan of hers and I do wonder what her motives are in dissing her former party but for her to "come out" so to speak volumes to people who support her.
Posted by: On-Tory-O at December 30, 2005 01:51 PM (vZGih)
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government legislation suppressing the blogs is an ABSOLUTE. watch for it. we are impinging into the MSM as some retarded clown act. you think regaining control over our government is easy (12 years since the formation of the Reform). if we don't rein in the MSM to eat our shit (can i say that?) we've won half the battle. follow the money. blog vs msm. freedom vs socialist dogma.
Posted by: Ottawa Core at December 30, 2005 02:16 PM (8hWQ1)
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According to the seat forecaster at:
http://tthfacts.blogspot.com/
the Goodale situation is hurting the Liberals and helping the Tories and NDP.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2005 02:43 PM (nB2Ou)
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They can have my keyboard when they pry it from my cold, dead fingers.
Posted by: Ed Minchau at December 30, 2005 03:00 PM (pPVQ0)
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Yup, this is going to get real nasty as Herle assumes full and unfettered command.
Posted by: Erik Sorenson at December 30, 2005 03:04 PM (KmUe2)
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Libel "chill" froze this qwerty keyboard/blog prior to election 2004: >>
Martin compared to Nixon in sponsorship debate
CBC OTTAWA-- Prime Minister Paul Martin again faced an opposition out for his blood over the Quebec sponsorship program Wednesday, with one Conservative MP comparing him to disgraced U.S. president Richard Nixon.
The House of Commons' daily question period was almost entirely devoted to the auditor general's report on how $100 million of a $250-million fund meant to raise the federal government's visibility in Quebec ended up in the hands of ad agencies with close ties to the Liberal party.
Martin has denied knowing about the arrangement during his time as finance minister under former PM Jean Chrétien.
"The prime minister is a creature of the Liberal party in Quebec," Conservative MP Jason Kenney said Wednesday. "How can the prime minister claim that he knew nothing, saw nothing and heard nothing?"
Referring to the Watergate scandal, Kenney added: "It sounds awfully reminiscent of Richard Nixon blaming a small unit within the White House for actions that he knew nothing about."
Martin repeated his defence over and over, in English and French, as did the cabinet ministers who rose to answer questions on his behalf.
"These acts were perpetrated by a very small group of 10 to 12 people within the 14,000 who work for Public Works," Martin said.
"They didn't come to cabinet and say, 'Oh, can we break these rules?' They operated in secrecy.
"But there were rumours, Mr. Speaker, and those rumours eventually came out. There was an internal study. When that study was done, it was turned over to the auditor general for investigation.">>>
http://paulmartintime.ca/mediacoverage/000274.html
Posted by: maz2 at December 30, 2005 03:17 PM (YqNfr)
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Re seat forecast
For another take go to www.hillandknowlton.ca/company.htm
According to their seat predictor it is conservative minority based on the SES numbers....the next few half point switches change the picture dramatically.
There are still some anomolies in the predictor, it doesnt account for incumbency, popular local candidates etc...like Ottawa Centre. IT just goes by raw numbers. So tracking a specific race like Pontiac or Newmarket Aurora is impossible to do. Although according to this model Belinda loses pretty consistently.
However the results arent bad from my eyeballing and experience, but I only really know Ontario, GTA and SWO really well.
Check it out...right now it shows CPC minority, 2 more points and you have a very strong CPC minority.
I think the polls will get worse for the Libs and I think their vote is soft, i.e. wont come out. I think the CPC has been in monority territory since before Christmas and I believe the Libs will lose 30-50 seats in this election. The CPC win is in the 905, 519 and 613 area codes...strong CPC trend.
If this continues much longer Libs will have to abandon those areas to fight for their core in 416 and on the Island of Montreal.....the fortress is creaking push it much more and it will crack.
I firmly believe that if there is early confirmation of CPC leads in Quebec ridings it will feedback very very badly for the Libs in Ontario. Quebec confirmation will push the middling Ont undecided into the time for a change camp firmly. That opens up a mini 84 option. A firm response back from Ont will send more Quebec ridings, up to 10 into the CPC potnetial camp....if they win 6 and 2-3 in 416 you have a recipie for a CPC majority (shhhhhhh) this is just a scenario and I there is no great liklihood attached. It all depends on getting firm confirmation of good leads in Pontiac, and either Beauce or the Quebec City riding....
If not then you are looking at a Diefenbaker two step....
As long as the CPC keeps doing what they are doing they have a decent minority.
For the moment, that works, getting CPC in power and acting as a government is key...also key to cleaning the place up. Just keep hitting singles and doubles...
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 03:47 PM (upnxu)
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I think censoring Blog's is the first step towards a hell even the Liberals wouldn't want, but I also believe that it's a bit premature to worry about. They have to win first, and I think the winds of change are definately in the air.
Frankly, I believe that the RCMP are in the process of throwing off the chains of their political masters. There's no doubt some of the higher up's inside the RCMP are in the pockets of the Liberals, but I can't see any reason for them to announce this investigation unless there is a revolt going on inside the force.
The RCMP never tell anyone what they are up to until after the fact, and I seriously doubt any NDP bitching is going to make them change thier methodology now.
Nope, I think that the real cops inside the RCMP see a prime chance to break the shackles that bind them, and I expect at least one more announcement, probably around Tuesday of next week, stating that they have seized email and are investigating the PMO.
It will be the RCMP way of delivering a deathblow when it suits the RCMP the most, and they will drive the knife blade in hard when they do.
Praetorian Guard anyone?
Posted by: at December 30, 2005 03:53 PM (pfy5t)
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Former RCMP Commissioner Norman Inkster moved the top dog position of the RCMP from being "arms length" with the government (where the Commissioner liaised with Attorney General) to being that of a deputy minister. Since that time, it is hard to imagine there's ever been a truly independent RCMP investigation into the activities of government workers, appointees and/or elected officials.
The RCMP, like the Armed Forces, are chronically underfunded because the Liberals disagree idiomatically with the traditional values of men & women who commit themselves to service of their country. Values like honour, respect, integrity and honesty.
Posted by: Mac at December 30, 2005 04:07 PM (tjF+R)
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When information was blocked by the canadian govt., it was Americian bloggers like Captain's Quarters that came to the rescue. A week later the canadian govt.lifted the gag order on all media including bloggers. GOD BLESS AMERICIA.
Posted by: John at December 30, 2005 06:27 PM (J00x2)
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Stephen:
I desparately hope you're right. But a CPC minority is much more fragile than a Liberal one. Its all or nothing.
Posted by: noblerogue at December 30, 2005 08:29 PM (OAxiF)
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tomax7 said:
Bob - Start counting down the days, it is coming, I'd say by 2008.
Based on today's revelation that Buckets (of the blogs Buckets of Grewel and Bouquets of Gray) acted as a Liberal stalking horse to bring down one previously anonymous blogger, I'd say you're off by a couple of years. I now have little doubt that Angry's warning is timely, and it's one I'm going to heed.
If you're anonymous because you don't want the government to harass you for what you post on blogs, DON'T ever respond to someone asking you for personal details, and don't ever put information that could be used to gather information about you. And don't trust Buckets - the same guy who said he was 95% sure the stuff on Klander was a forgery. He's taking direction from a higher power, the temporary and soon to be turfed occupant of the PM's residence.
Posted by: Patrick at December 31, 2005 02:28 AM (u0igE)
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Two types of traders
I wonder if we'll find out that there are two types of traders at the Toronto Stock Exchange.
The first group will demand that TSX CEO Richard Nesbitt resign until such time as the questions surrounding his suspicious purchase of thousands of income trust fund units just before the Goodale announcement are resolved.
The second group will insist that no investigation is necessary, that there's nothing to see here, and we should just carry on with our business as before.
It's the second group we should be looking at.
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For some reason, CTV seems to be only interested in the second category, but not in the critical way you do!
Posted by: Bushman at December 30, 2005 04:00 PM (/Dvsk)
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Unless the Securities Commission decides to take action or the RCMP arrests him, I can't see anyone calling for Nesbitt's removal. He's not in government; the TSX is a private company.
Posted by: Mac at December 30, 2005 04:19 PM (tjF+R)
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Nesbitt had a lot of confidence to step out and buy 759,000 dollars worth of stock. If he heard that Goodale was going to make an announcement only and nothing more how could he be so confident that it was to buy and not to sell.
Posted by: Peter Benyk at December 30, 2005 05:43 PM (Z4E5a)
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I believe there is a connection between Medisys owner(Paul's personal physician) and the Prime Minister
Is there a connection between Paul Martin and the head of the TSX, Richard Nesbitt?
Posted by: crowbar at December 30, 2005 09:22 PM (NbQNS)
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The Income Trust Scandal: Changes in the Liberal war room?
More inside dirt at Bourque about the tremors being felt within the highest levels of the Liberal Party election team in the wake of the Income Trust Scandal bombshell:
According to insiders well-placed to understand the nuances within Martin's braintrust, Bourque has also learned that key campaign personnel are at risk of being replaced in an increasingly desperate attempt to maintain control of the public agenda, and more importantly, the key messaging that is driving this election.
Uh-oh. Desperation? Replacements? Need for new messaging?
The message is crafted by the Communications Director, in this case, Scott Reid.
You remember Scott Reid? He got reamed for suggesting on national television that Canadian parents can't be trusted with money to spend on childcare because they were likely to spend it on beer and popcorn.
He hasn't been heard from since.
And now the Income Trust grenade and a need to "maintain control of the...key messaging."
If I was Scott Reid, I'd be worried.
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If for no other reason, the Liberal need to go because I no longer trust them with my tax dollars.
Posted by: Awake Canadian at December 30, 2005 10:35 AM (Fi0d+)
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I'd be worried just BEING scott reid
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 10:46 AM (upnxu)
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I've gotten to the point where I can't even trust our beloved RCMP to honestly look into Liberal wrong doings.
I really can't, and for that I'll never forgive these Liberal scoundrels.
Posted by: It's A Pity at December 30, 2005 10:52 AM (95IlD)
Posted by: spike at December 30, 2005 10:52 AM (xt9VU)
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You MUST read Coynes column today www.andrewcoyne.com
Best question, why has the RCMP turned on those it has been shown to do the bidding of? Why Now?
Of course it IS just doing its job, but why is it doing its job NOW and not before.
On one level I don't care, I just hope they do their job from now till evermore, Lib, Con, Green or Dipper government.
But definitley check it out, and I am sorry I missed him on the national last night
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 11:01 AM (upnxu)
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Stephen, he made the same points on the National as he did in his column.
It's a pity, don't forget, had it not been for the actions of the Commissioner of the RCMP writing a letter, in the middle of an election campaign, that guaranteed the independence of this investigation, we wouldn't have heard anything about this. Trust them to do their job.
Posted by: Patrick at December 30, 2005 11:13 AM (u0igE)
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Angry, what makes you think Scott Reid isn't behind the changes? It's obvious someone had the power to yank him, but someone like Reid doesn't stay yanked for long. And when you yank a chain, you're also on the other side if the person on the chain (the yankee?) yanks back.
Posted by: Patrick at December 30, 2005 11:14 AM (u0igE)
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More issues related to government misshandling\corrupting of business sector. The end game of a great financial swindle is going on as we speak in Hamilton. The Stelco bankruptcy saga that would never end is possibly nearing an end but the shareholders are getting screwed.
For more background read Bill Cara's blog, it's an excellent financial blog.
http://www.billcara.com/archives/2005/12/does_stelco_rep.html
http://www.billcara.com/archives/2005/12/the_little_peop.html
Posted by: James at December 30, 2005 11:45 AM (fmnZG)
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The Income Trust Scandal: The Mounties should start by asking Paul Martin some questions
In the case of the Income Trust Scandal, the focus has been on Ralph Goodale and his office.
Senior Ottawa Liberals are telling me the focus is misplaced.
First, check out these quotes captured from the CTV newscast tonight at M K Braaten:
- Don Drummond, VP/Chief Economist: CTV said that Drummond told them he first heard about the announcement via email, 4 hours in advance of announcement. Also, stated that Liberal strategists in Ottawa were the source of email. CTV quoted Drummond as saying "Alot of people seemed to know there was an announcement coming and a few people seemed to know what it was."
- Jim Leech, Teachers pension fund - CTV said that Leech received emails at about 2 pm stating that the announcement was guaranteed. CTV Quoted Leech "I got a bunch of emails around 2pm saying for sure Goodale was making an announcement after the close."
- Sandy Mcintyre, Sentry Select Capital: CTV reported he sent the following email: "There is a strong rumor out of Ottwa that Goodale is going to pronounce after the close today his trust solution…hope my sources are right!" Mcintyre said his sources were quoting 'well connected Liberals'.
Note that the source is ill-defined. Just well-connected Liberals.
Not well-connected finance ministry officials.
Just well-connected Liberals.
Recall that Ralph Goodale's original plan was to announce the decision in January. Suddenly the timeline was moved up. By Ralph Goodale?
Mr. Goodale said in September that the government would consult with a variety of industry and stock market players before announcing any policy change. Industry observers immediately began speculating that the government might consider reducing taxes on corporate dividends as a way of levelling the playing field with income trusts.
On Tuesday, Nov. 22, Mr. Goodale indicated that he would provide direction on the income trust issue because of the impending collapse of the government, effectively ending the consultation process. That night, department officials began discussing the possibility of taxing income trust, sources have said.
The next day, Mr. Goodale's office confirmed that he would be making an announcement and just moments before his scheduled news conference, his parliamentary secretary, Toronto MP John McKay, gave a television interview suggesting the government planned to levy a modest tax on income trusts. Shortly after 5 p.m., Mr. Goodale said there would be no tax on income trusts and that dividend tax credits would be increased starting in 2006.
Pat Breton, a spokesman for Mr. Goodale, said yesterday that Finance officials met on the night of Nov. 22 for two or three hours and came up with the plan that became the next day's announcement on income trusts. He also said that the Prime Minister's Office was told after that Nov. 22 meeting — either later that night, or the next day — about the decision. The policy development was “entirely an internal Finance” effort, he added.
However the media is reporting today that the focus is starting to shift (via Bourque):
Aides to the Prime Minister were told about a taxation change for income trusts "some time immediately before" Mr. Goodale made the announcement after markets had closed on Nov. 23, Pat Breton, a spokesman for Mr. Goodale, said yesterday.
While it is not unusual for the PMO to be informed of high-profile policy announcements, this indicates that the list of officials who had advance knowledge of the pending change went beyond the Finance Department and Mr. Goodale's office.
Well, I know some well-connected Liberals as well, and they've let me know what really happened. As reported in the Globe and Mail, Paul Martin's aides are insisting that Paul Martin was told "some time immediately before" November 23.
It's getting closer to the truth, but still not quite there. It has the date wrong. It also has the direction of the decision-making reversed.
The decision to close of the consultations and deliver the good news not to tax income trusts, probably in response to an election campaign that imminent, was made not by Ralph Goodale, who by all accounts is too honest to be making decisions like this based on election calculations, and who intended to stick to his timetable of accepting submissions on tax policy until December 31. It was not an entirely internal effort, as spokesperson Pat Breton insists. The major decisions were being taken outside of the finance department.
The decision was made by Paul Martin himself.
Paul Martin told Ralph Goodale on Friday, November 18 to bring the consultations to a close and to make an announcement on income tax trusts.
Paul Martin and his immediate PMO staff would have known for five days prior to the announcement how the decision was shaping up.
Paul Martin and his staff were dictating the pace of the work, and possibly the decision itself.
Paul Martin and his immediate PMO staff are as likely suspects as the source for the leak as Ralph Goodale and his office.
When Ralph Goodale stresses that Paul Martin knew nothing, you know he's trying a bit too hard to deflect attention from where the attention should be.
When I read about John McKay's flub on November 23, I wonder whether the finance department was really in the loop. It helps explain McKay's confusion if the PMO was more deeply involved in the decision making.
Where you see Paul Martin standing by Ralph Goodale, I see Paul Martin standing behind Ralph Goodale, keeping him up front and centre not out of a commitment to his minister and a firm belief in his basic honesty and his innocence, but in order to have a shield to hide behind.
Paul Martin made the call on Friday, November 18, not Ralph Goodale on November 22...that's the way it happened, or so well-connected Liberals are telling me.
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That would definitely explain why the name Medisys is not allowed in any news reports--they started heavy buying on Nov. 22--Martin leaked to his private doctor
Posted by: George at December 30, 2005 08:35 AM (XWKwf)
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Richard Nesbitt CEO of TSX is big benefactor
of Income Trust leak and invested 759,000 dollars to make huge profit as reported on CTV National News.
Now we know why the TSE did no investigation of insider trading - the CEO has his snout in the trough.
Hold your nose folks -this is starting to smell real bad.
Posted by: Peter Benyk at December 30, 2005 08:56 AM (mMai7)
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I would be shocked in if PM did the leaking...big bonehead manouver.....it is someone around him. (Reid, Reporter or lower) Murphy has shown himself to be circumspect so I doubt it was him.
It is someone a little lower, in need of money and connected or wanting to get to Bay street once they are out of office (resigned or tossed by the electorate)
If the head of TSX acted on this he needs to be tossed IMMEADIATELY...the head of the exchange needs to be above reproach.
For all my socialist friends who think this is the way markets work I would ask them to read adam smith. It is ALL about rule of law, transparency and trust...when you combine those with "animal spririts" you get the right mix....you remove the former you get Suharto's Indonesia (Crony Capitalism)
The animal spirits exist no matter what (socialism, communism, liberal democracy, theocracy), what humanity can do is organize its affairs to tap the best of it, liberal democracy.
take a match to the empire so we can learn to dream again.....
Posted by: Stephen at December 30, 2005 09:11 AM (upnxu)
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Note Following Quote by Liberals on Medisys contact with Investment Community in the Star today:
A legal officer at Medisys Health Group, a Montreal-based medical services provider, declined comment on Harper's remarks.
But Liberal party spokesman Ken Polk responded: "Perhaps before anyone entertains another baseless smear from Mr. Harper, contact should actually be made with Medisys.
"When this false accusation was first made by Mr. Harper three weeks ago, the truth turned out to be that the company's CFO met with institutional investors the day before the higher trading."
What was the context and content of this meeting?
Posted by: Brian Lemon at December 30, 2005 10:00 AM (JV4oB)
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Angry
Baseless rumours. 'Well-connected', right. Like anyone in the know would give you the time of day
Lemon
Nice name. 'the company's CFO met with institutional investors'. That's what CFO's do. Duh!
Posted by: 'scott reid' at December 30, 2005 10:24 AM (ni9Oj)
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You'd be surprised who I talk to over the course of a week. God knows I'm always surprised myself.
Thanks for dropping by, Scott. You're always welcome.
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 30, 2005 10:27 AM (1nUEP)
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No wonder Bay Street, the Ontario Securities Commission and the TSX were downplaying this issue!!!
Posted by: taxpayer at December 30, 2005 11:45 AM (6axp9)
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I suspect the Blackberrys are burning up this week. When everyone gets back to work next week and the MSM has had time to dig, this election may be over.
Amazing how the story of this campaign is one of a blog driven election. We appear to have created a whole new generation of commentators: Angry, Kate, MK, Stephen.... Give the MSM and the politicians a few days of holiday while the boggers keep on digging. The blogosphere never sleeps.
Posted by: john at December 30, 2005 01:17 PM (f5Fx3)
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"Paul Martin told Ralph Goodale on Friday, November 18 to bring the consultations to a close and to make an announcement on income tax trusts.
Paul Martin and his staff were dictating the pace of the work, and possibly the decision itself"
This is 100% accurate, and according to my non-Liberal sources.
Posted by: Ottawa Man at December 30, 2005 02:04 PM (3oMZ+)
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It could be "Every man for Himself" in Ottawa to quote the Napoleonic Imperial Guard, when they broke at Waterloo.
Now that it seems that the carpet cops at RCMP HQ have decided they have to defend the honour of the force (I hope), will Goodale be next? Is he as honourable as commentators have said?
Will the Parliamentary Press Gallery break ranks? Soon.
Will the CBC be left alone and stunned?
This could be like the collapse of Mulroney's PC's. Too bad Manning is no longer here to complete the cleanup.
Posted by: Monty_inBC at December 30, 2005 02:26 PM (sM9DF)
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Scott Reids comments confirm that the leak came from the PMO, his medical conection knew on the 18 th that the change was coming so he sends his CFO to meet with investors to provide a cover for what transpired. The only problem is Pauls buddy owns a large percentage of the shares so he is the main benifactor.
Posted by: Barrie at December 30, 2005 02:31 PM (rp6r3)
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According to the seat forecaster at:
http://tthfacts.blogspot.com/
the Goodale situation is hurting the Liberals and helping the Tories and NDP.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2005 02:45 PM (nB2Ou)
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"Paul Martin made the call on Friday, November 18, not Ralph Goodale on November 22...that's the way it happened, or so well-connected Liberals are telling me."
That makes complete sense.
The possibility that the "insider" leak was disseminated by a member in the PMO, rather than by a Finance Ministry staff member speaks volumes why Goodale refused to resign. But right now Paul Martin desperately needs a scapegoat. If he knew who had done it they would be history and he'd be on TV all day talking about it.
UNLESS... it was either Martin himself or someone *really* close to him who might well know too much and may tell all if Martin turns on him. There is no trust among thieves as they say.
I agree that the blogosphere is controlling this election now. Bloggers never sleep. I bet readership at blogs like Kate's and Angry's will keep increasing till after the election and beyond, continuing on through all the many Commissions of Inquiry that will surely follow.
Posted by: John Crittenden at December 30, 2005 05:29 PM (q3a5q)
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Hey Ottawa Man, are any of your sources willing to contact me, hopefully to go on the record? Just let them know I'd love to talk to them.
Cheers!
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 30, 2005 06:51 PM (tAhML)
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December 29, 2005
The Income Trust Scandal: But I've got a string tied around my finger
Some Liberals believe they can ride out the scandal caused by the announcement of the RCMP investigating a potential leak from Finance Minister Ralph Goodale's office to select traders willing to use inside information to turn a quick profit.
The reason? Christmas:
Liberals believe the fact that the criminal investigation was revealed in the dead zone between Christmas and New Year's Day, when few voters were paying attention, will save their electoral bacon.
"There is a God after all,'' chuckled one Liberal MP.
I know this unnamed MP was joking, but if any spiritual being has a hand in guiding the Liberal Party, I'd be willing to bet it isn't God.
But does he have a point about the timing? Is three days the shelf life of a scandal?
We'll all know next week, but I can tell you this. I've been in constant contact with a major Canadian on-air media personality with regards to the Income Trust Scandal, well before the events of this week. This person told me during one of our talks that if the main stream media has remained focused on this story during the lull between November 23 and this week, it was largely because the Canadian blogosphere would not let this story go.
Bloggers kept up the pressure, kept revealing new elements of the story, kept identifying new trusts with weird trading patterns, kept finding new links between particular funds and the Paul Martin Liberals.
Christmas comes and goes, but the bloggers are still here.
So I'll tie a string around my finger to remind me about the scandal. Hopefully next week, I won't have been distracted by bright shiny Liberal promises to spend my money wisely on my behalf.
And if bloggers are the string around the finger of the main stream media, then they won't have forgotten about the income trust scandal next week either.
For now, though, some main stream media journalists are doing an amazing job on this story.
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I see the Globe and Mail has already decided that nothing is wrong, the spin has started. All the Liberal media and stock trader conections are falling in line. The coruption touches every layer of the Liberal business conections. Look for a RCMP report the well of the election clearing the crooks.
Posted by: Barrie at December 29, 2005 10:49 PM (rp6r3)
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I see the Globe and Mail has already decided that nothing is wrong, the spin has started. All the Liberal media and stock trader conections are falling in line. The coruption touches every layer of the Liberal business conections. Look for a RCMP report the week of the election clearing the crooks.
Posted by: Barrie at December 29, 2005 10:50 PM (rp6r3)
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It's interesting to hear the MSM newscasts refer to blogs and blogging. It would seem that they have the issue of blogs, and how that affects their business, top of mind these days. I've seen several documentaries about "Blogging" on the CBC and I hear blogs referred to at least once a newscast.
Quite frankly i think it's returning some ethics and accountability to journalism.
The internet might just save a civilization. Western democracy has been crumbling for the past 50 years, being slowly replaced by a corrupt socialist ogliarchy (more and more as major news outlets aligned politically, and journalism lost its integrity, its "profession" status), it would seem that some power has been returned to the people through the free exchange of information.
It won't last forever though. The government will eventually control the internet, split internet news outlets into sects and creatively figure out how to silence the voices of freedom.
But while our voices can still be heard we need to return ethics to government, we need to overhaul Canada's democractic system, and we need to try and enshrine freedom for years to come, so that the inevitable collapse of our society into decadence and waste is forestalled as long as possible.
We have to rebuild Canada into a respectable democracy for the generations to come!
Posted by: Brad in Barrhead at December 29, 2005 11:03 PM (0AQqd)
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Barrie: The spin is dead. Watch the story on CTV tonight. Quotes and e-mails from the heads of the trading houses, saying they were tipped off hours in advance of Goodale's announcement.... by "Senior Liberals"... detailing what his announcement would be.
They're all singing.
It's over. Goodale is toast. Or if the source of the leaks was the PMO, as some have speculated, Martin should be finished.
He is finished.
Posted by: gwgm at December 29, 2005 11:33 PM (09X8Q)
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Methinks that God is a Conservative! He's just returning from a long vacation.
I can't think of a more damaging time for this story to break. In two days the entire country is going to come together in New Years Eve parties and celebration. Events, parties and celebrations involving conversation between friends and aquaintances. Every person who is at a likely voter will be discussing the election; the IT scandal will be top of mind and not merely because if its timing.
The insider trading scandal is easy to understand and it is easily labeled for future reference. The key word is 'insider' and it attacks the Liberal brand by attacking its purported core values. The so called party of 'Main Street' is exposed as a party of 'Bay Street' cronies - insiders. The Liberal brand is exposed as a fraud - not for the first time, probably not for the last time, but certainly at the most important time - days before the biggest gathering of Canadians before the election.
This is the tipping point!
Posted by: Ken at December 29, 2005 11:41 PM (iGLrL)
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Watch the CTV story.... you won't believe what you're seeing.... they can't even attempt to deny this.
http://ad.ca.doubleclick.net/adx/video.ctv/video;arena=video;feed=live;sz=1x1;spd=h;ord=20031009.asx
Posted by: gwgm at December 29, 2005 11:43 PM (09X8Q)
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The link above doesn't work... sorry about that gang. Tried to post the correct one and the server here won't let me.
If you want to see the video, go to CTV... click on the main Goodale story.... and then look for the Kathy Tomlinson piece on the right side, under the Videos heading.
Posted by: gwgm at December 29, 2005 11:51 PM (09X8Q)
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While the CTV goes about the business of serious investigative journalism, the Globe is content to sit on the sidelines and spout Liberal talking points.
Funny how on the night the CTV actually gets specific names with specific stories of leaks,
the Globe talks about this as a potential "Wild Goose Chase."
Posted by: Biff at December 30, 2005 12:23 AM (Y1ykG)
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I think Kathy Tomlinson is the only investigative journalist in the whole country. Once again, she's putting everyone else to shame. Good for her. Amazing what happens when you actually get off your ass and ask someone a question.
Imagine the dirty looks she gets from Craig Oliver.
Posted by: gwgm at December 30, 2005 12:30 AM (09X8Q)
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http://tinyurl.com/cwejm
it works, and its beautiful!!!
Posted by: annextraitor at December 30, 2005 12:48 AM (5vsY+)
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The CTV had a "wild goose chase" story as well.
I'm surprised the RCMP would make a statement like they have no evidence of wrongdoing. That's a pretty bold statement to make considering they've only just begun the investigation.
Posted by: Mac at December 30, 2005 12:49 AM (tjF+R)
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Don't know where to post this new topic which will figure large in this election:
ROOT CAUSES OF GUN VIOLENCE
Our own social and political policies have made the present growing plague of armed violence virtually inevitable. The primary necessary root cause of gun violence is first of all economic. Without an economic context mandating and supporting it, a social phenomenon has no legs. The economic context mandating gun violence is the long- failed government policy of prohibition.
Prohibition does not work, can never work, and has never worked, yet our government sticks to its bankrupt policy decision of maintaining prohibition with the effect of creating, artificially by government decree, a colossal multi-billion dollar economy ‘outside the law’ and so, of course, within this criminal economy created by government decree, the only way to enforce a deal is through ‘outside the law’ sanction, ultimately, the gun. It goes without saying that the guns used to enforce the understandings and misunderstandings of the criminal underworld created by prohibition are ‘criminal’, that is, unregistered, and so the stupid futility of the Liberal’s 2 billion dollar gun registry is obvious to anyone living in the real world. (Aside: In this election we should ask: “Who did the Liberals give the two billion to?” Who will follow the paper trail on this?)
A secondary root cause of our growing gun crime epidemic is cultural. We have chosen to raise a whole new generation of young males on a toxic soup of gun-violent video games played obsessively from a very young age when the brain is still forming, and into adulthood. Most of these games are devoid of any story or moral context whatsoever; they simply shoot to kill to win. Under our hate propaganda laws, many of these video games could be banned. It is a natural progression from these video games to gang membership and video-like gun violence acted out on the street. By the time someone of this video generation shoots someone on the street, they have already done the same by proxy in ‘video-world’ tens of thousands of times.
Any solution that pretends to deal with gun violence without addressing the two root causes, (economic and cultural) is not a viable solution. Disingenuous, self-righteous, and out of touch rhetoric relating gun violence to ‘poverty’ or ‘social exclusion’ may serve to use gun violence to funnel government grants towards practitioners of such rhetoric, but this will do nothing to stem the increasing cyclone of violence in our cities. No amount of ‘inclusion’ and no legitimate job will ever pay anything close to the amount the prohibition-based criminal economy pays for drug running, dealing, and enforcement of deals and territory by guns. Gang members probably enjoy a stronger sense of ‘inclusion’ via gangs and a lot less ‘poverty’ than most ordinary hard-working members of society.
So long as prohibition continues, this government-caused multi-billion dollar economic underpinning of this criminal gun-based culture will ensure that nothing can stop its growth. As an economic sector relegated by government policy into illegality, within this huge sector there is no way of enforcing deals except by guns- hence the plague of gun violence we face today is a direct result of governmentÂ’s decision to pursue prohibition, disregarding the fact that it cannot and has not ever worked.
Posted by: edward mills at December 30, 2005 01:09 AM (c4Z9/)
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Ref the "cultural" part of causes of gun crimes, don;t forget all the different "cultures" that are being imported from other countries for liberal votes - that has nothing to do with the way Canadians are raised, but may have a lot to do with the way those people were raised in other countries.
And a side question - while I would guess the majority of Canada has internet, how many read blogs? Maybe 10%? And half of those would be reading liberal crap, so they don't know what's going on. So not that many Canadians know what's going on. I'm kinda sorta maybe guessing the liberals will come out okay in this election. At least okay enough that they're not going to be able to do Canada much good (too little too late in the face of determined and serious opposition).
Posted by: Jay at December 30, 2005 01:41 AM (PIbeE)
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I complained to the CRTC at the beginning of the campaign that the CBC wasn't even reporting the potential scandal at all. Not a mention on the network or website. They said the broadcaster had 10 days to respond, and of course I didn't hear a thing from them. How happy i am to see that they have no choice but to lead with this story now!! This story has legs and it will haunt these crooks for the rest of the campaign. Whether Canadians (read Ontarians) will finally wake up remains to be seen...
Posted by: Vivid at December 30, 2005 03:04 AM (gHebQ)
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Hope posting this is OK?
The Hill Times, December 19th, 2005
FEATURE
By Mike De Souza
Liberals hoping ethics chill thaws out in Pontiac riding
Liberals warn that fluently bilingual Conservative candidate Lawrence Cannon might leave the staunchly federalist Pontiac riding with an unpleasant surprise on Jan. 23: A Bloc QuébécoisMP>>
http://www.thehilltimes.ca/html/index.php?display=story&full_path=/2005/december/19/pontiac/&c=1
Posted by: maz2 at December 30, 2005 08:00 AM (UB4iV)
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Cannon would be my choice but even a BLOC MP would be a big step up from the troughfeeding Liberal scum Smith. More fearmongering by the liberals.
Posted by: George at December 30, 2005 08:38 AM (XWKwf)
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Latest from Leo Knight's blog, which pretty much sums up the Income trust thing:
Thursday, December 29, 2005
Martin spins to defend Minister under the gun
Prime Minister Paul Martin's spirited defense of embattled Finance Minister Relph Goodale is admirable in his loyalty to a trusted lieutenant but certainly nothing but an attempt at spinning a bad situation.
While speaking to the media, Martin said, "I believe that an investigation, as does he, will clear the air -- including the allegation as to whether or not a leak actually took place. The RCMP have said that there is no evidence of wrongdoing on Mr. Goodale's behalf, his office or his department."
One has a very difficult time believing the RCMP would advise the Prime Minister of something as definitive as that just as the investigation is beginning. How could they possibly know what evidence they will or will not uncover when they have not yet begun the investigation?
Martin's spin is nonsense and designed to deflect the calls for the resignation of a Minister under the cloud of a police investigation.
In the British parliamentary system, the Minister is responsible for the actions of his or her department. Traditionally, the Minister should fall on his sword should there be wrongdoing uncovered in the ministry. Equally, should that Minister be under a cloud of suspicion, then he or she should resign pending reinstatement when that cloud is lifted.
But, it would seem that only happens with an ethical government. That apparently does not include the government of Paul Martin.
Leo Knight
leo@primetimecrime.com
posted by Leo at 11:56 | 0 comments
Obviously, something illegal went on either in the PMO or Ralph's office. Paul Martin's assertion that the RCMP told him "there is no evidence that any wrongdoing took place" is an outright lie, since the RCMP , as a matter of protocol NEVER rule out guilt or innocence on any suspects until the investigation is complete. Hopefully, there will be no political interference in this investigation by the Privy council or the Liberals.
Posted by: D-man at December 31, 2005 06:57 PM (b8I0n)
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As far as I know there is no evidence that anyone has done anything wrong. I'll be reserving my decision on voting until I see what the outcome of this investigation turns out to be. If the investigation goes beyond the election date then I'll decide the day of the election.
Posted by: Fred at January 01, 2006 10:47 PM (iuI31)
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Ever wonder why liberals still have die hard supporters?:
"Why I will vote Liberal"
"Because I believe in the extent to which the Official Languages Act is carried out and enforced; that every public servant even in the most remote part of B.C. should be fluent in the French language, but that government business in Quebec should be in unilingual French.
Because I believe that only lawyers from the province of Quebec are qualified to be prime minister of Canada.
Because I believe that the federal government should be completely controlled by the province of Quebec.
Because I believe that all criminals are just poor misunderstood victims of society and can all be easily rehabilitated in a very short period of time; and that only they have "rights"; not the victims of their crimes.
Because I believe that hardened criminals like Karla Homolka should be pampered by living in a "cottage" with her own key and be allowed to have pyjama parties and go out on shopping trips; and that killers in prison "resorts" on the Pacific coast should eat filet mignon, have barbecues, go whale watching and have their own golf course, while our senior citizens have to eat left over Kraft Dinner.
Because I believe that mass murderers under that age of 18 should be protected by the Young Offenders Act and the rest of us law-abiding citizens do not have the right to know who they are.
Because I believe in bringing hundreds of thousands of unskilled people into Canada from third world countries every year so we can support them on welfare and so that they will vote Liberal; and that this number should be increased every year.
Because I believe that it is fair that the province of Quebec is the sole province allowed to be in charge of its immigration policy; that they receive 5 times the amount of federal immigration money than does Ontario, even though Ontario has to teach those people how to speak English whereas Quebec only allows immigrants to enter who already know the French language.
Because I believe that we do not have a right to own land in Canada, as it is under Liberal law.
Because I believe it is only fair that Liberals steal as much tax money as they can from us; through every conceivable means from the HRDC boondoggle to the 2 billion dollar gun registry that does not work.
Because I believe that if my family is the victim of a home invasion I should not have the right to protect them in our own home.
Because I believe in huge government bureaucracy and extremely high taxes, as I believe that the government knows how to spend my money better than I do.
Because I believe in having essentially no military because everyone loves us and we will never be called upon to protect our country.
Because Jack Layton is not a lawyer from Quebec so he is not qualified to be prime minister; besides, he smiles too much.
Because Stephen Harper is not a lawyer from Quebec and he and the Conservative Party of Canada have a hidden agenda and they are very scary people.
Because I believe that we should alienate our neighbours to the South because all Americans are morons and know nothing about Canada; and that we should continue to align ourselves more closely with our true friends, France, China and Russia.
Because I believe everything that the Liberal controlled media tells me, especially the CBC.
Because I believe that no one should ever be held responsible or accountable for their own actions in today's society. It is always someone else's fault.
Because I believe that we should not expect newcomers to our country to accept or adapt to our culture and traditions and customs; and that we should not wish each other "Merry Christmas" in case it might be offensive to some.
Because I have the IQ of a doorknob and am easily sucked in by Liberal scare tactics and propaganda; and am easily bought off with my own tax money. "
Posted by: donno at January 03, 2006 04:22 AM (b8I0n)
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This sounds fishy
No really. It's fishy. Like it's about fish.
Oh, and a half-million dollars handed to a Liberal Party lawyer for a non-competitive contract. That's not allowed by the rules, unless the situation is one of "extreme urgency".
What was so urgent? Apparently some salmon went missing, and there was no time to lose in researching the best bid. Indeed, the delivery of the money to this Liberal buddy took two hours days weeks months.
Two months? Extreme urgency? Salmon?
I told you it sounded fishy. Read the whole thing.
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Very fishy, indeed. One of the most frequent themes of Sheila Fraser's reports is how government contracting rules are disobeyed. Isn't there any mechanism in place to redress these breaches of policy? Evidently not.
Perhaps the reason so many folks vote Liberal is the vain hope of a turn at the trough?
Posted by: Mac at December 29, 2005 07:29 PM (tjF+R)
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Conservatives continue the positive campaign of personal responsibility
Stephen Harper and the Conservatives continue to reveal policy after policy, holding the title of the Party of Ideas and Personal Responsibility:
Conservative Leader Stephen Harper today did what he admitted was a rarity for him — jumping off a city bus before announcing a plan to give transit riders a tax break.
Mr. Harper said his proposal would save the average Canadian transit user $153 a year. He said that should be enough to ease traffic congestion and pollution by moving people from their cars and onto buses, subway cars and commuter trains.
Harper's plan would allow holders of monthly transit passes to claim a 16-per-cent tax credit. Parents would also be able to claim the credit on behalf of dependent children.
The party decided to target monthly pass holders because it makes the credit easier to administer, he said.
"The idea here is to get people to shift to regular transit usage, particularly for transport to-and-from work or to-and-from education," said Mr. Harper, who acknowledged he hasn't taken public transit to work since he was a private citizen years ago in Toronto, Edmonton and Calgary.
So if you buy the odd ticket for the odd trip, you don't save. The plan is to encourage people to buy passes, which means that the person is encouraged to use transit in order to maximize the value earned from owning the pass in the first place.
Clever.
The standard approach is to hand over a big chuck of money to the transit authority, or maybe to the city and then to the transit authority, or maybe to the province which gives it to the city which gives it to the transit authority. One or more layers of bureaucracy leach away at the money.
And money to special interest groups, the Friends-of-Mass-Transit crowd, who will use the money to "encourage" mass transit, usually by using the money to fund lobbying for government decisions designed to make life more miserable for motorists.
For instance, in 2004, the Liberals handed the Canadian Urban Transit Association in Toronto almost $400,000. This is a transfer, not a contract for specific services, which means they are not subject to audits. And what do we get for $400,000? Well, this issue paper, for example, encouraging the government to raise gasoline taxes even higher, implement road tolls, use zoning to eliminate parking spaces, all "directed at creating a general understanding and acceptance of the importance of public transit among the people who won't use it."
In case you were wondering, the Canadian Automobile Association received no money from the government according to the 2003-2004 Public Accounts of Canada -- Transfer Payments. Its activities representing the interests of drivers were paid for entirely by drivers.
I feel a hankering for beer and popcorn coming over me. Oh save me, CUTA, for my own willfull blindess, even though there is no rapid transit between my house and my job that will take less than two hours for a one way trip. Will that earn me a break for high gasoline taxes, since I don't have a choice but to drive? Hell no. Instead, the Liberal government is handing my tax dollars over to CUTA so that CUTA can encourage the Liberal government to raise my taxes until I give up in desperation.
Again, the Conservative approach is to hand money, or in this case, the tax credit, directly to the individual citizen. We get to weigh the pros and cons of personal versus private transit on an individual basis, and make a decision whether to take advantage of the program.
The cost of the program grows or shrinks based on its popularity, but never costs more than exactly what it costs to run and fund it. No waste.
No middleman eager to pad his expense account with my money.
It's a direct contract between you, the taxpayer, and the government you've elected. Unelected and elitist organizations like CUTA and other organizations shouldn't be speaking on your behalf. They should speak on behalf of their members only, the various transit authorities that pay for CUTA's research and training services.
For those who make a living by finding ways to get government money and spending it on our behalf, this sort of thing must be infuriating.
Update: I've changed the post from "personal empowerment" to "personal responsibility". My readers have convinced me that it better captures the tone of the Conservative platform.
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I'm sorry to pick on one expression out of
all the good things that you are saying, Angry, but "personal empowerment" sounds like such a Bolshevik thing to say. It's such an empty and "neutral" term. We are not the party of social workers. You may as well be saying self-esteem. We recently have heard of people empowering themselves by stealing money from the state, btw.
Posted by: Civitatensis at December 29, 2005 04:07 PM (Nuub6)
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Hey Angry, thought your readers may find this amusing: http://www3.telus.net/public/safework/blog/working.swf
Posted by: Richard Evans at December 29, 2005 04:11 PM (XS3Ab)
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I'm sorry to pick on one expression...
Oh, you'll be sorry. If it's the last thing I do...
OK, that moment has passed. I agree that the phrase seems trite. But I chose it on purpose -- these programs that the Conservatives are pushing are all two-way contracts -- between the private citizen and the government he helped elect. Special interest groups and lobbyists can wait outside.
It's a very personal relationship in which you are empowered to say yea or nay to what the government is offering. Seemed like the right phrase after all.
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 29, 2005 04:21 PM (1nUEP)
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"Personal Responsibility" is perhaps a better description. Using tax credits to promote desired behaviour is simple and very effective. This is what the Kyoto plan should be based on - not throwing $10B of our tax dollars at Librano friendly advertising agencies and consulting companies to waste and give back to the Libranos.
Posted by: taxpayer at December 29, 2005 04:25 PM (6axp9)
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Agreed. You guys have convinced me. Change made.
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 29, 2005 04:39 PM (1nUEP)
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What a wonderful idea Harper et al are proposing! But isn't Harper supposed to be scary? Where's his hidden agenda?? Is that a Bible in his pocket or is he just glad to see us???
Here in Vancouver, pubic transit is always a hot topic because the infrastructure has been deliberately under-developed for decades, hoping to force people to use public transit. At the same time, the public transit system has inconvenient schedules and is so problematic that many who live in the outlying areas can't depend on it. Within the city, it's not bad but go outside of city boundary and public transit becomes hit or miss.
The result? Massive ongoing gridlock at the main choke points- usually river crossings like Port Mann Bridge (TransCanada Hwy 1), Massey Tunnel (Hwy 99), Alex Frazer Bridge (Hwy 99a) and no solutions in sight.
While Harper's proposal might not solve these issues, if it takes 5% of the single occupancy vehicles off the road, it was well worth the lost tax revenue.
Posted by: Mac at December 29, 2005 05:17 PM (tjF+R)
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Mac, even if that 5% were only 1% or 2%, think of the added revenue to the transit commissions. We might actually get rid of those mocking signs in every bus that say this transit commission is sponsored by the Ministry of Transportation.
Ministry nothing. Those signs should say "Your $2 ride was subsidized by the person in the car a lane over via their gas tax....and the tax on that gas tax.....and it would have cost you $3 if we didn't gouge him/her so much at the pump"
Posted by: TrustOnlyMulder at December 29, 2005 05:38 PM (kYWsy)
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Good suggestion, taxpayer. That sounds much better, Angry. I have tripled passworded my site anticipating your angry revenge. (;
Posted by: Civitatensis at December 29, 2005 06:09 PM (Nuub6)
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MAC,
I found the HIDDEN agenda. It took perhaps 2 minutes with a google search. I was amazed, nay SHOCKED, to discover that the HIDDEN agenda is HIDDEN in front of my face (if I am willing to admit that I can read).
How can people in good conscience support this group of thieves who have now wrapped themselves in our flag. They simply refuse to understand that they ARE the CAUSE of the problems that we now face nationally.
These are my thoughts but maybe I'm just a bitter transplanted old westerner.
Cheers
Gerry
Posted by: Gerryinmontreal at December 30, 2005 02:00 AM (68G4z)
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I'm pretty indifferent to the tax credit on bus passes. I've been a public transit user for close to 10 years and passes are already relatively affordable ($71.25 per month where I live) compared to owning a car. The issue isn't really the cost, it's the reliability and frequency of routes. Besides, for me, the maximum tax cut I would receive is about $137 a year - money that I would prefer to see used to improve the transit system.
Besides, you're not going to promote use of the transit system unless you make it just as easy and convenient as driving to work. No one's going to shrug off their cars to wait 40 minutes in the snow because the damn bus is late again!
Mac is right - you need to create a system that is convenient for people outside the city to encourage them to take transit. Otherwise, what's the point?
Posted by: smangler at January 07, 2006 12:12 PM (lZscy)
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The Income Trust Scandal: Paul Martin speaks
From the Globe and Mail:
Prime Minister Paul Martin said today Finance Minister Ralph Goodale will not resign because of the RCMP decision Wednesday to launch a criminal investigation into whether advance notice of Ottawa's plans for income trusts leaked from the federal Liberal government.
"He is a person of the greatest integrity, and he will not be stepping down," Mr. Martin said during a campaign photo op this morning.
I guess Goodale goes into the Scott Reid bucket of "keepers" and not the Mike Klander bucket of "losers".
Of course, from a purely partisan point of view, this is great news. The longer Ralph Goodale remains minister, the longer will the Conservatives, the NDP, the Bloc, and the media have a specific identifiable target for discussing the Income Trust Scandal.
You can't underestimate the value of putting a face on a story.
Of course, now we have a Paul Martin soundbite to go along with it, one that will get repeated in an ironic way if and when Ralph Goodale resigns:
"I have full confidence in Ralph Goodale. I believe that an investigation — as does he — will clear the air, including the allegation as to whether or not a leak actually took place."
Is Paul Martin going to go to the mat for Ralph Goodale. My gut says no, but I could be wrong. Clearly, Paul Martin is being supportive right now. But that might have less to do with confidence in Ralph Goodale and more to do with Paul Martin's penchant for dithering. He might be waiting for a poll to help guide his actions.
Still, Paul Martin has staked out a position. If the Income Trust Scandal story goes south for the Liberals, Paul Martin will pay a price if he's forced to change direction. He might come to regret not cauterizing the Goodale gash as soon as it happened.
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Thank God for the men of integrity who handle the finances and affairs of the nation. Go Paul Go
Posted by: crowbar at December 29, 2005 12:35 PM (cqwTG)
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Unfortunately, by leaving Goodale out there I think we're swinging at the wrong target.
There are 2 possible sources for this leak. Finance, and PMO.
Ask yourself what you know or think about Goodale. Then ask yourself the same question of Martin and the followers he has in the PMO.
Then ask yourself which is the more likely source of the leak.
Posted by: john g at December 29, 2005 12:50 PM (n2NSm)
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Just ask yourself how the news got to Paullyanna's personal PRIVATE doctor and his string of PRIVATE medical clinics. Oh, and of course this PRIVATE medical provider just happened to be set up as a Trust Fund that erupted in an avalanche of trading BEFORE the news was announced. Hmmmm, wonder what secrets Paullyanna spilled to his own PRIVATE doctor?
Posted by: Slim at December 29, 2005 01:21 PM (tC7lx)
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Paul Martin, for some time now, has banked on the fact that Canadians no longer care about integrity.
If he's right, and is re elected, we will be living in a shell of a democracy.
Posted by: Biff at December 29, 2005 02:23 PM (Y1ykG)
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you may be right about Pauly's doctor--heard Christopher Thomas interviewed on Rutherford this morning--he stated that Medisys bought shares on Nov. 22--a day BEFORE the announcement--did the good doctor hypnotize Pauly to get advanced info?
Posted by: George at December 29, 2005 02:34 PM (IYRk3)
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This is closer to Paulie than it now seems. RG should step down, yes. But my money is on the most powerful arrogant and crooked PMO in our history. Based on his reputation alone, Ralphie is probably clean as a whistle. But from what you know of the PMO and all it's slime, do you think any of them could pass up some quick money for a supporter(s)? Hey, entitlements don't stop at the taxpayers teat. There's tens of thousands of taxpayers and (taxpaying) retirees to screw! They won't need the money, they'd just spend it on.....
Posted by: Jimbo at December 29, 2005 02:39 PM (8Ze6i)
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One certain target would have been for the opposition to hang on if Goodale had resigned, but the fact that he did not resign may even be a better target in the weeks to come.It may be the rope to hang the Liberal Party,and wouldn't that be a gift?
Posted by: John V. at December 29, 2005 02:43 PM (zcvz7)
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IÂ’ve been wondering what role John McKay played in this situation. HeÂ’d made remarks after the announcement that got him into hot water with Goodale. He mentioned that Income Trusts within pensions may be taxed differently, then he got very quiet! I guess weÂ’ll learn more as the RCMP investigation unfolds.
Posted by: ann at December 29, 2005 03:00 PM (rOhG3)
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Our PM the ex finance minister throwing the current finance minister a life line and not asking him to step down. Now I wonder which of these two guys is holding dirt on the other? Maybe it's a combination of both. 'I won't tell on you if you don't tell on me'.
I'm so looking forward to see how this all plays out. It would be grand to see the leak have come from the PM's office as opposed to the finance office. Maybe we'll get a late Christmas present.
Posted by: Randy at December 29, 2005 04:51 PM (2igC4)
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http://tinyurl.com/8eujs
Marting and Goodale take their defensive positions
Posted by: Duke at December 29, 2005 05:05 PM (kMQ/N)
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"The RCMP has said there is no evidence of wrongdoing on Mr. Goodale's behalf, his office or his department," Mr. Martin said
I find it funny that the RCMP can say there's no "evidence of wrongdoing" without having even commenced an investigation into the matter.
Foreshadowing of a coverup?
Posted by: section98 at December 29, 2005 05:12 PM (pAgoM)
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PMPM on Gagliano prior to Adscam - "In Quebec, Alfonso Gagliano is the one minister everyone listens too.He is my friend.He is someone for whom I have enormous respect and admiration."
http://www.canada.com/national/features/decisioncanada/story.html?id=520ee34e-ccac-4478-8bea-0a672b8a99e2
Fast forward-Ralph Goodale, here we go again.
Posted by: blueright at December 29, 2005 10:04 PM (5LBFb)
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Support a winning Liberal Party campaign! Give us your beer and popcorn money!
The email I just received from the Liberal Party, with highlighting from the original:
Support a Winning Campaign!
The calendar year is coming to an end, but the election campaign is just getting started!
We want to thank you for your support to date and invite you to take advantage of a great tax credit opportunity.
December 31st is your last chance to donate to the Liberal Party of Canada for the 2005 tax year. Calculate your tax credit via our handy Tax Credit Calculator.
In order to ensure liberal values prevail through this hard fought election campaign, we will need to make every dollar count. Your donation is not only eligible for an exceptional tax credit, but will make a significant difference in the final three weeks leading up to Election Day.
We are only halfway through the campaign. We need your help before the clock strikes midnight on December 31st. Please give generously. And thanks!
Your Liberal Campaign Team
To my Liberal Campaign Team:
Gee, I'd like to give, but I spent all my disposable income on beer and popcorn. Because, as you know, I'm too stupid to know how to spend my own money.
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What can I say, except...lol!
Posted by: Dante at December 29, 2005 12:34 PM (r63g0)
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But you're smart enough to not give it to them Angry!!!
Posted by: TrustOnlyMulder at December 29, 2005 12:50 PM (kYWsy)
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Can't give any more, it has been taken in excessive Taxes.
Posted by: John V. at December 29, 2005 05:14 PM (zcvz7)
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These are the same air heads that are millions of bucks in the hole while the conservatives are in the black!!!!!!!!!!! Give me a break.......
Posted by: themaj at December 29, 2005 05:44 PM (Uagor)
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More conservative hypocricy. When Mike Harris said the same thing about people on welfare blowing their money on beer, those in the conservative ranks cheered and couldn't agree more! And now it's the wrong thing to say?
Hypocrites.Get me another bucket.....
Posted by: at December 29, 2005 06:00 PM (ZNk0Q)
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"More conservative hypocricy. When Mike Harris said the same thing about people on welfare blowing their money on beer, those in the conservative ranks cheered and couldn't agree more! And now it's the wrong thing to say?
Hypocrites.Get me another bucket....."
Huge difference. On the one hand the recipient is competely sustained by tax dollars, the other party is the taxpayer who provides those dollars. No hypocrisy if you can recognize the distinction.
Posted by: noblerogue at December 29, 2005 08:16 PM (OAxiF)
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Liberal Party donation..or..beer and popcorn?
Sorry I think I'll keep the money to put towards my son's new wheelchair he so desperately needs. I'm sure Klander will think thats a waste of money, not that I give a damn.
Posted by: Rottigirl at December 30, 2005 10:41 AM (Uagor)
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Tipping points
From a poll on December 23, before Klander's Slander and the Income Trust Scandal bombshell:
For the first time since the federal election began, Conservative Leader Stephen Harper has edged out Prime Minister Paul Martin on issues of leadership that are being tracked daily by a national public-opinion polling firm.
The poll also found Harper leading on the issue of vision for Canada at 25 points and Martin at 20. The prime minister edges out Harper on competence 27 to 23.
The overall leadership index score now has Harper in front with 71 points and Martin with 64 -- the first time the Conservative leader has scored higher than Martin since the SES-CPAC survey began on Dec. 1.
SES's Nik Nanos said Harper started the campaign 23 to 24 points behind Martin on the index.
Remember how the Liberals thought a long campaign would work in their favour. So far, not so good.
Of course, things could change.
And things have changed in the six days since this poll was taken.
Since then, Mike Klander insulted, well, just about everyone via his blog and was forced to resign.
Since then, the Conservatives unveiled a plan to give veterans, including aboriginal veterans, respect and support. This story got a lot of positive media attention.
Since then, the Liberals got a lot of attention as well, but not the positive kind. At the top of every newscast and headlining every newspaper is news that the Mounties are looking into allegations that someone inside of Ralph Goodale's office illegally leaked information about income trust taxation and allowed key traders to profit handsomely. All eyes are on Goodale, waiting for the resignation announcement.
A lot has happened in six days -- the six days when the campaign was supposed to go dormant for Christmas. Has the campaign tipped? Are this week's events just going to add to the momentum measured last week? When the campaign revs up, will the direction become apparent?
And if the Conservatives are starting to pull away, will Canadians ignore the Liberal call for an all out panic? The indications are that it won't work this time:
The survey also shows the Conservative leader closing in on Martin when Canadians are asked who would make the best prime minister. On that front, Martin leads by just three points at 28% to Harper's 25%.
Nanos said so far Harper seems more engaged and relaxed, improving his image, a vulnerability for the Tory leader when the campaign began.
"So, it's not surprising that the Liberals are throwing everything but the kitchen sink at them," said Nanos. "The Liberals still haven't found anything that will stick to Harper. The bogeyman argument, right now, doesn't have traction."
This will be an election for the history books.
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Not only have the Liberals run a horrendous campaign they have had all of these things go badly for them.
If the CPC cant win this one I dont know what to say.
The only thing stopping a Tory majority is the Bloc.
If the CPC pulls ahead in Ontario you may see some Que seats. Indications of Que seats will feed into Toronto, telling 416'ers that it is ok to vote conservative they wont be ticking quebecers off.
I would urge you to all go back and read Chantal Heberts column that hinted that Martin was coming unglued. I think we should see more evidence of it in the next week or so....I am sure David Herle will be positively suicidal, he'll likely eat his way out of his depression with the MILLIONS he has made off of government contracts, that and spending time with his lovely wife terrie O Leary, who has also made nice money in government.
I wonder if Senator David Smith will be doing the superior dance outside their house?
Posted by: Stephen at December 29, 2005 11:39 AM (upnxu)
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Senator Smith won't be doing any dances. He's a good Christian and sincerely believes that "big happy Liberal family" stuff.
Posted by: Joan Tintor at December 29, 2005 01:40 PM (GeWXX)
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Well Mr Herle wants people to stop talking about Senator Smith's brilliant campaigns and talk about his.
I think they'll be discussing Herel's campaign alright...for years to come.
Posted by: Stephen at December 29, 2005 07:56 PM (upnxu)
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Harper needs to nail it down - he should stand up at a big media event, and with a big shit-eating grin say "Hello Everyone - I'm the scary bogeyman with the nefarious hidden agenda! Muhahahaha! Then kiss his wife and pick up his kids for a hug and giggle....
Posted by: Looking in from The Outside at December 29, 2005 10:29 PM (JVSjN)
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The Income Trust Scandal: Election timing
Bet the Liberals and their supporters are furious at Jack Layton and the NDP for supporting Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party decision to hold an election now.
Remember, if we had followed the Liberal timetable, the election wouldn't have started for another couple of months, assuming Jean Chretien didn't succeed in getting the second Gomery Report delayed with his appeal to federal court. As it turns out, the Income Trust Scandal has exploded in the middle of the campaign, instead of being old news.
With that sort of fury gnawing at them, I wonder how difficult it is going to be for the Liberals put on a false smile and try to appeal to the NDP to support them against the Conservatives. And with the massive gash and uncontrolled hemorrhaging being suffered by the Liberals from the Income Trust Scandal blowing open, on top of Klander's slander and "beer and popcorn", how many NDP voters are reconsidering whether a vote for the Liberals is a strategic vote or a wasted one.
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I bet that polls will not move.
Posted by: george at December 29, 2005 11:15 AM (e46KA)
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If this had been a Conservative government we would have been in 1993 territory by now.
Posted by: The Fog is Clearing at December 29, 2005 11:27 AM (CWVlS)
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In viewing CTV,s interview with RG on Canada AM: Finance Minister Ralph Goodale, it would seem that RG is spinning the investigation as arising out of the fact that we are in and election campaign and that voters should see it in that context. That's rich by any stretch.
Posted by: W.Verwey at December 29, 2005 04:45 PM (Al7vF)
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Good point. Who is most able to put political influence on the RCMP? The Liberals. And yet the Commissioner of the RCMP himself - the guy who owes his appointment to the Liberals - decides this is a story so important, Canadians had to know about it BEFORE they made their judgment in the election. If he had wanted to put up a red flag and sound a siren, he couldn't have been more obvious. To blame the election campaign is futile. Only the most brain-dead moron could buy that.
So, Liberal for Life, I hear you agree with Goodale!
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 05:12 PM (u0igE)
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The Income Trust Scandal: Paul Martin must resign!
From the Conservative Party website:
“The Finance Minister has no choice but to tender his resignation,” said Conservative Finance Critic Monte Solberg. “This investigation confirms that there are reasonable grounds to suspect criminal wrongdoing in his department or office, and as minister he must accept responsibly. That’s how our system works.”
Solberg pointed out that the Conservative Party has consistently raised serious concerns about suspicious trading patterns of certain income trusts in the hours preceding his November 23rd policy announcement.
“Why has Mr. Goodale refused to take seriously the compelling evidence of a government leak that ended up benefiting privileged insiders?” Mr. Solberg asked. “Now basic principles of public ethics and ministerial responsibility require that he do the honourable thing and resign.”
Now read it again, with a few substitutions and additions here or there:
“The Finance Minister Prime Minister has no choice but to tender his resignation,” said Conservative Finance Critic Monte Solberg anyone with a brain. “This investigation confirms that there are reasonable grounds to suspect criminal wrongdoing in his department or office, and as minister in charge of Quebec under Jean Chretien as well as finance minister he must accept responsibly for exercising no oversight over $350 million in public funds. That’s how our system works.”
Solberg Any person with even a shred of intelligence pointed out that the Conservative Party has consistently raised serious concerns about suspicious trading patterns of certain income trusts in the hours preceding his November 23rd policy announcement the allocation of contracts to advertising firms in Quebec and about the official response to the conclusions of the Gomery Inquiry.
“Why has Mr. Goodale Mr. Martin refused to take seriously the compelling evidence of a conclusion of an inquiry confirming government leak manipulation of contracts that ended up benefiting privileged insiders Quebec advertising firms, and ultimately the Liberal Party itself?” Mr. Solberg every person giving this story only a few miniutes consideration asked. “Now basic principles of public ethics and ministerial responsibility require that he do the honourable thing and resign.”
Really, I'm not sure what the difference is. Ain't going to happen, of course.
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the original version and the edited version are twins.
Posted by: at December 29, 2005 11:25 AM (Q7HwR)
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What I want to know is why no one has raised the question of how convenient it was for Martin as the Finance minister to list the steam ships as being in the one country exempt to taxation when he wrote up the law... wasn't that a slight conflict of interest??? Shouldn't he be under just as much suspision as poor old Raulphy boy??? and finally, Could Paul be as certain as he is about the whole Raulphy being innocent because he's the one that leaked it???
Posted by: MrEd at December 29, 2005 03:26 PM (ohQnb)
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The Income Trust Scandal: An easy prediction
Remember what I said about Ralph Goodale keeping his job? That it wasn't really up to him?
Even as we speak, Liberal Blackberries are alight. Many, I am certain, are carrying messages considering the consequences of cutting Ralph Goodale loose.
Cutting him from his privileges and responsibilites as Minister of Finance.
Maybe even cutting him out of the party altogether. Long odds for that one, I think.
But Ralph Goodale's future is not going to be determined by the RCMP, the OSC, or even by Ralph Goodale. It will be determined by Scott Reid, John Duffy, Cyrus Reporter, and others in the Liberal war room. These unelected lobbyists advising Paul Martin are interested in only one thing -- how to get the Liberals back in power and thus preserve their conduits to government influence and cash. If Ralph Goodale's troubles get in the way, he'll be out.
Bourque is carrying news that Goodale is likely to get the boot:
Bourque has learned that embattled Finance Minister Ralph Goodale is being pressured to give up his Cabinet seat for an indeterminate period of time, this in light of devastating news first revealed to the nation here yesterday that the RCMP has launched a criminal investigation into leaks from his department regarding rulings relating to the growing income trust scandal. According to senior sources inside the Paul Martin Liberal Party who spoke on condition of anonymity, "the official party posture is that Ralph didn't know anything and therefore shouldn't have to resign, but the public perception is devastating, it's killing us, and we need to move firmly to squelch the stink." Incredibly, Prime Minister Paul Martin has refused to comment publicly on news of the RCMP criminal probe, though it is understood that he has had a few choice words with key staff about this file.
Any guesses about what those choice words were?
Here are some ideas:
- "Do what needs to be done!"
- "All I'm saying is that we don't need this right now. That's all I'm saying."
- "Let me be perfectly clear..." [followed by an extended silence]
- "Boy, am I lucky they never caught on to any of my leaks when I was in charge of finance!"
- "Scott, what do I think? What should my opinion be on this? Where's the latest poll?!"
- "Will someone go tell Ralph to stop knocking on the door? Tell him we'll call him in when we're ready to tell him what his decision is going to be. Now read that part back about 'After careful consideration of my role as finance minister...' "
- "What a miserable and weary day. It would do well for a smile to cross my royal visage. Call the court jester! Call Feschuk!"
- "Ralph #%&@ Goodale! "
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Interesting to read the U.S. take on this story at: http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/cat_canada.php
Posted by: ann at December 29, 2005 10:39 AM (rOhG3)
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Ralph Goodale interview on CTV is interesting on two levels (It can be viewed on their website).
First, we can now understand the unusual release of the RCMP statement which emphasized there was no evidence of wrongdoing on the part of anyone "associated with the investigation". The release was parsed to the point of irrelevance because it was based on talking points that Ralph is now using over and over again to imply the RCMP isn't even thinking he might have done something wrong.
Second, we now have from Goodale's own lips a clear statement that the number of people who can be suspects are limited to himself, the very small group he told in his own office, the Prime Minister, and those he told. He confirmed the Prime Minister was notified during the day. Given the late breaking pop on this, that's significant.
Goodale is also trying to lay the groundwork for the "informed guess" theory, suggesting his statement in the scrum that he wanted to put an end to uncertainty may have prompted the unusual activity, but the interviewer quickly disposed of that canard. As she pointed out, that didn't tell anyone what the decision would be. Besides, why would he have said anything ahead of time, if he now believes such a statement could have the effect of moving markets. Did he not believe that before? Either way, he's just giving more reasons why he should step down.
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 10:51 AM (u0igE)
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It aint Ralph....
Ralph is just a rube and a boob....but somebody in finance told somebody else and so on!
Besides being bad PR for the LIberals this won't amount to anything because there were no laws broken.
Its not illegal to leak policy and the OSC won't be able to ( or just won't ) prosecute anyone.
However...I still say three cheers for all the bloggers out there who kept this story alive in the face of the smothering silence in the MSM.
Posted by: PGP at December 29, 2005 11:08 AM (iv01O)
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Re. the choice words: hilarious.
I got a belly laugh out of that one. That is prime humour.
Posted by: Ade at December 29, 2005 11:09 AM (4p91Z)
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I bet PM made more bucks on it that me.
Posted by: george at December 29, 2005 11:19 AM (e46KA)
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It was reported that Goodale's office met with investment dealers BEFORE the announcement...
The question that MUST be asked...
Of all the companies that made money on that day in November...
HOW MANY OF THOSE HAD CLOSE TIES TO THE LIBERAL PARTY?
M.H.
( retired banker )
Posted by: Merv Hollingsworth at December 29, 2005 11:38 AM (Y1ykG)
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Update to the boiled dog's head comment
[CTV is now carrying this story, including the issue of the Chinese origins of the phrase.]
When BC Liberal Party President Jamie Elmhirst quoted Industry Minister David Emerson describing NDP Jack Layton, Elmhirst reported a very colourful turn of phrase:
Jack Layton had a great weekend in BC. First he managed to find something nice to say about Svend Robinson, although the performance struck me as a touch insincere, even for Jack Layton. How did Minister Emerson describe his style at our Convention dinner? Oh yes, he said that Jack Layton had a boiled dog's head smile. That would have made even me wince if I hadn't have been laughing so hard.
I thought he was being evocative with his imagery, and dismissed it. I was wrong. The phrase has much more meaning than what I expected.
Apparently the phrase is Chinese:
Saap Sook Gao Tao - boiled dog head - when you really happy and showing all your teeth all the time, you look like a dog head that's been boiled
But more interestingly, the phrase might also be rude, as opposed to being very descriptive.
During the Cultural Revolution, the phrase "rotten dog's head" (zalan goutou) became a popular insult.
But "boiled dog's head"? I found a reference that suggests it is an insult:
To the officer that was smiling at RPCNs for their disturbed look : "Your smile very ugly, like sup-suk-gao-tao (boiled dog head)."
And then that led me over to rabble.ca:
It's not just a Chinese saying, it's an extremely rude Chinese saying, and Emerson probably knew that, as his wife is Chinese.
She is Chinese:
David is married to Theresa Yeuk-Si Tang. Theresa came to Canada from Hong Kong in 1972 and worked for 15 years in the financial services industry.
I can't find independent evidence about how severe an insult this is. But if it is a base and vile insult in Chinese, and Emerson knew that, I might be convinced to reconsider what the right response to Emerson's comments about Layton is.
At least an apology. Maybe more. And maybe the people in the Chinese community would have an opinion about the sort of vile humour (if indeed it is that vile) is being lobbed about Liberal ministers.
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CAN CANADA SURVIVE ANOTHER THIRTY YEARS OF THIS?
Can anyone in Canada imagine going on for another three decades in the manner we have gone on during the past thirty years? Can anyone imagine a three decade continuation of the ballooning waste of tax dollars we have witnessed over the past three decades? Can anyone imagine another thirty years of the past rate of encroachments by the Federal one party state government into Provincial jurisdiction? Can anyone imagine another thirty years of this broken partial ‘democracy’ where almost everything is appointed by a PM ‘elected’ by a minority of voters? Can anyone imagine where we will end up with another three decades of a negative, divisive one party state party government propping itself up by dissing dishonestly our largest trading partner and dividing men against women and ethnic groups against other Canadians? Can anyone imagine another thirty years of being governed by a government that will do anything in its power to stymie genuine democratic modernization no matter what the cost in regional resentments leading to the possible dismemberment of the country?
No, we cannot imagine going on as we have been for the past three decades because we know another thirty years like this will spell the end of our country. For most of its history, Canada has been governed by the ‘Liberal’ party of Canada, and so most of our problems, (from the many ongoing decades of residential school abuse, to the divisive and probably illegal encroachments into provincial jurisdictions) are the fault of this ‘Liberal’ one party state party government.
No, we cannot imagine another thirty years of being governed by a hypocritical party known for the dishonesty of “running on the left, and governing on the right”. How can we take anything this type of political machine says, seriously, given their record of breach of trust?
Another thirty years of corrupting and corrupt governance by CanadaÂ’s one party state party, where nothing can be believed, as Jack Layton found out recently, is simply not possible. The attempt by Ontario voters to re-impose this rejected party on the West and Quebec, simply means the end of the original intent of Confederation, and thereby, the end of Canada. This Liberal Party has almost destroyed the country with its corrupt and arrogant legacy of one party rule. CanadaÂ’s problems are not economic; they are political, and these ever worsening problems of governance fall squarely at the feet of this continuously centralizing, expanding, corrupt and corrupting, one party state party. Genuine and far-reaching democratic reform is the only option Canada has left if Canada is to be saved over the long term. All opposition parties have come out in favour of democratic reform. Canada has only been a one party state for so long because the Liberal Party has not seen fit to allow democratic reform.
E
Posted by: edward mills at December 29, 2005 02:23 AM (c4Z9/)
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The independent evidence you're looking for comes from Emerson himself, who admits (in the CP story posted on CTV) that he was aware of what it meant:
B.C. Grit cabinet minister in blog controversy
Updated Thu. Dec. 29 2005 1:26 AM ET
Canadian Press
VANCOUVER — The Liberal election campaign has taken another hit from the blogosphere after its star B.C. candidate used a possibly insulting term to describe NDP Leader Jack Layton.
Industry Minister David Emerson is quoted in a blog written by Jamie Elmhirst, the federal Liberals' B.C. president, as referring to Layton's "boiled dog's head smile.''
An NDP spokesman said the term is an English translation of a Chinese insult.
Elmhirst referred to the comment, made at a pre-election dinner, after suggesting Layton's friendly remarks about maverick New Democrat Svend Robinson during an early-December campaign stop in Vancouver were "a touch insincere.''
"How did Minister Emerson describe his style at our convention dinner?'' Elmhirst writes in the Dec. 5 blog entry.
"Oh yes, he said that Jack Layton had a boiled dog's head smile. That would have made even me wince if I hadn't have been laughing so hard.''
Stanley Tsao, an NDP campaign spokesman who handles Chinese media, said Wednesday the phrase is Cantonese in origin and can be taken a number of ways depending on the context.
Tsao said Emerson's remark showed "arrogance and disrespect,'' especially in light of comments about Layton and his wife that appeared in another Liberal's blog last week.
"References like that do not help the debate,'' he said.
News of the comment comes just days after a senior member of the Liberal Ontario wing resigned for disparaging remarks about Layton and his wife, Olivia Chow.
Michael Klander, the party's Ontario executive vice-president, in his personal blog compared Chow, a Chinese-Canadian and an NDP candidate in Toronto, to a chow chow dog. The blog also referred to Layton as an "asshole.''
In an interview Wednesday, Emerson said he made the remark about Layton in a speech at a dinner during the B.C. federal Liberals' convention the weekend before the election call. He said it wasn't meant to be disrespectful.
"It was in reference to his constant chattering away with this great big grin on his face, pasted on, kind of an over-extended grin,'' Emerson said.
"It's a Cantonese expression which I use on myself and my wife uses on me all the time when I have to pose for pictures.''
"I was referring to constantly seeing Jack Layton looking like a boiled dog's head, talking about some of these shallow, ideologically driven policies of the NDP.''
Emerson said he learned the jibe from his Hong Kong-born wife, Theresa Yeuk-Si Tang.
"She's got tons of them,'' he said. "We certainly use it in our family and my wife says it's commonly used in the Cantonese community. It certainly wasn't meant as disrespectful.''
Emerson insisted it was in jest and said there are other choice Cantonese phrases he could apply to Layton, such as "frog in the well.'' It refers to someone who draws conclusions about the entire world based on a narrow perspective.
Layton's press secretary, Ian Capstick, said the remark was indicative of Liberal arrogance.
"It's disappointing when they cannot find fault in policy or in our activism or in the way we do our work on Parliament Hill, but instead decide to attack the personality traits of either the NDP here or others,'' Capstick said from Ottawa.
Emerson is fighting for re-election in the Vancouver-Kingsway riding after first winning it in 2004.
The former forest company CEO and senior provincial bureaucrat became the Liberals' B.C. political minister under Prime Minister Paul Martin, helping deliver billions of federal dollars to the province.
The Liberals have given him the lead role in the B.C. campaign, pitching him as the man who helped end years of federal neglect of the westernmost province.
The Elmhirst blog appears on the Liberals' B.C. campaign web site (www.teambc.ca) and was highlighted on Bourque Newswatch (bourque.org), which describes itself as the Canadian answer to the muckraking Drudge Report.
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 03:14 AM (u0igE)
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But of course, you knew that, since you had it linked to your post. My apologies - I should have read more closely - you're looking for evidence that it is more unseemly than Erickson is intimating, and I don't have that.
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 03:19 AM (u0igE)
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Of course it was an insult. Of course the NDP waxeth righteousness indignation. Who was it that said, "Madam, I'm drunk, but in the morning you will still be ugly"? Politics.
But when you don't offer the public policies and something for the media to talk about, then they go looking for something to fill the paper. A campaign of "Vote for me because my opponent is ugly" starts to look very tired. A campaign of "Vote for me because I am innocent and my opponent is ugly" is just pathetic.
Posted by: john at December 29, 2005 08:15 AM (fOVEr)
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These comments are not really part of the campaign. That's the funny thing. They were not intended as campaign statements but they have become them regardless.
This is the same problem that plagues the entire Internet: the sense that one can say anything, no matter how insulting or cruel (i.e. a flame), that one would normally never say in person.
The blogging thing has given it a pathetic twist. Blogging is popular and people want to jump onboard. As they strive to be cool, and funny, and shoot off the hip like they imagine blogging is all about, they end up saying some really stupid stuff.
These gaffes fit neatly into that age-old typically male tradition: showing off to impress your friends. Man oh man, does that ever bite us in the ass sometimes.
Posted by: Ade at December 29, 2005 08:46 AM (4p91Z)
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Ya know, the recent spate of Liberal apparatchiks being purged for their rude blogging spurred me on to surfing the primary Liberal blogger sites (a distasteful task I undertook for purely scientific purposes)...they certainly stand in stark contrast to the blogs run by CPC MPs or cnadidates. The difference was like that of the tribal vulgarity and dogmatic linear chanting on the Liberal sites to pointed reasoning and personal responsibility and self respect noted on the CPC blogs....most prominent among them was Monte Solberg...Monte runs a class blog...I wish all political commentary could be so civil.
I suppose we can only be thankful Caroline Parrish was not PC literate enough to run a blog...I can imagine the venom and vulgarity it would contain.
Posted by: W.L.Mackenzie Redux at December 29, 2005 10:09 AM (sdMWv)
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Mackenzie, I'm quite certain that by now, an urgent missive has gone out from the Liberal Warm Dead Bodies Room to tell people to clean up their blogs. And I'm quite certain that they've all looked at what they've written and said "Nope, no problem here".
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 10:56 AM (u0igE)
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I find these "Bloggings" (if that is the correct term) hilarious. Especially the ones about Chow-chow and boiled dog's head, which I take to mean a false, show-biz type smile. Incidentally, do the Chinese really boil and eat dog's heads? Ugh!
Lighten up folks and have a laugh. Take these remarks in the manner which they were intended.
Posted by: Gary Worton at December 29, 2005 11:00 AM (ywZa8)
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Certainly I suggested that we all take this lightly in my original post. But since then I've come to learn that there may be a cultural component to the insult that goes well beyond the physical description. I don't understand it completely, but it might be one of those things that I would laugh at but a Chinese person who understands the comment would cringe at.
If so, and Emerson knew that, maybe we should be taking this a bit more seriously.
Posted by: Angry in T.O. at December 29, 2005 11:03 AM (1nUEP)
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The Income Trust Scandal: The twisted logic of a true believer
From Liberal for Life:
I want Jack Layton to step down while the RCMP investigates his moustache
Wednesday, December 28, 2005
That's about as stupid an idea as asking Ralph Goodale to step down while the income trust affair is being investigated. Of course that's the way the opposition likes to do things, Guilty until proven innocent.
I should call up the RCMP under the false name Miguel Sanchez and tell them Stephen Harper and Monte Solberg have been running drugs for years. Then by their own logic they'd be forced to step down while the investigation takes place.
Please Canadians: buy a clue and vote the Liberals back to majority!
If after a review of the allegations, the Mounties found enough evidence to justify an official investigation of either Jack Layton's moustache, or of the drug running activities of Stephen Harper or Monte Solberg, then they should step down.
Duh.
But a review would conclude quickly that any such allegation is nonsense, and no investigation would be initiated. Unless it was an investigation of criminal mischief by Mr Sanchez.
The review of the income trust situation came to a very different conclusion.
It's not about the determination of guilt, or the presumption of innocence. The court of law provides for those. It's about earning, retaining, and protecting the public trust. Protecting the public trust even at the expense of your job.
Normally, I ignore the sort of non-thinking exhibited by Liberal for Life. But the announcement of an RCMP investigation is yet another blow to the Liberal campaign, and perhaps the biggest one so far. It's hard to imagine it getting any worse.
How does something like this affect the "true believer"? Someone who is an uncritical supporter, utterly unable to imagine the Liberal Party doing anything wrong, without it being a setup or a conspiracy, or blown out of proportion, or already fixed and thus a distraction from the "important" issues.
Well, we've just seen an example. It's not pretty.
For the more critical Liberal supporter, the response is more reasoned and more gloomy:
On The Bright Side...
...no one's going to be talking about Klander much.
This is HUGE. Martin will use the "can't comment on an RCMP investigation" line and I doubt we'll find out much else before voting day, but the mere fact that Goodale's office is being ivestigated [sic] is a massive blow to the Liberals. It's also an absolutely golden way for Harper to switch to "Phase 2" and the corruption issue which I've always assumed was his intention for the second half of the campaign.
That makes a lot more sense. Of course, the Liberal Party is better served, in the long term, by members of the second sort instead of the first. While the first can always be counted on for a donation and a vote, the second can be counted on for honesty.
If the Liberal Party is going to survive this unending stream of scandals and gaffes, they are going to have to find a way to fill their collective reserve of honesty, which seems to have gone dry quite some time ago.
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Holy crap,
It appears there may be another adscam.
$400,000 given personally to a lawyer, in suspcicious circumstances (non-tendered "urgent" ) contract. Lawyer was a huge Liberal supporter. Check it out here:
http://www.conservativelife.com/blog/index.php/canada/2005/12/28/honorable_bryan_williams_half_a_million_
Posted by: Miles at December 29, 2005 12:35 AM (Y1ykG)
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He clearly has a little brain. It took the RCMP three weaks to come to the conclusion that there is sufficient evidence to proceed with a criminal investigation.
If a Liberal committed cold blooded murder and there were one thousand eye witnesses this liberal scumbag would make stupid analogies and tell people to vote Liberal. Useless. Anyone who reads his blog will be dumber for having done so.
Posted by: ferrethouse at December 29, 2005 12:39 AM (//hWt)
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(Cross-posted from Stephen Taylor's blog)
So many things about this matter are astoundingly unusual. Has there already been political interference in this investigation? There may well have been.
First, the RCMP does not comment on ongoing investigations. EVER. Nor can I find any example where it announces the start of an investigation. I can think of only one reason to do so - to start the clock on the investigation, so that they could comment on it before it BECAME an "ongoing investigation".
Second, the fact that a criminal investigation was to be undertaken was announced by the Commissioner through a back channel, via a letter to an Opposition MP. In the middle of an election campaign. When he knew it would be released. Had he wanted to guarantee that a criminal investigation would take place, and he wasn't sure he could guarantee that simply by being the top Mountie, this would have been an effective way to do so. Now, if no investigation proceeds, the whole country will notice. If this was a strategic release, it was a pretty smart one.
Third, the Commissioner made it clear that the criminal investigation would take place because there was information that a crime had been committed. You don't review allegations and, based on the allegations alone, launch a criminal investigation. You have to know there is a crime to be investigated. And yet, the release today downplayed that aspect of the Commissioner's letter. Now, the official line is that the investigation was prompted, not by evidence of a crime as would be the case in any other criminal investigation, but simply on the basis of the allegation. The Commissioner's letter again pre-empts that claim by making plain that they've already looked into the allegations, and now they're moving into a full-fledged criminal probe. Again, a smart move by the Commissioner, if it was his intention to indicate that something nefarious had been discovered.
Fourth, the very specific wording, specifically naming the Finance Minister as being among those for whom there is no evidence of wrongdoing, is extraordinary. To single out a Liberal Cabinet Minister as being not directly the subject of information they apparently don't have begs the question, whose idea was it to name Goodale in the release? And why did that occur?
Finally, how did this release get through the process for approving news releases during an election campaign? I challenge anyone to find a similar example. There is none. Releases commenting on the start of investigation are so unusual, I wasn't able to locate a single example. For it to be released in an election is extraordinary and, I think, unprecedented. I suspect that, with a little digging, it will be found the Commissioner is not in this week, and he did not approve the release of this document.
What is particularly striking is how closely both Goodale and the Superintendent interviewed by CBC were in parroting the exact wording from the news release. These were not off-the-cuff remarks.
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 02:05 AM (u0igE)
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By "cross-posted from Stephen Taylor's blog" I meant from my comment in his comments section. Hope that was clear, and if it wasn't, my apologies.
Here are the relevant links:
RCMP Commissioner's letter:
http://www.ndp.ca/ndp-drupal/files/JWL-RCMP-IncomeTrustInvestigation.pdf
RCMP news release:
http://www.rcmp-grc.gc.ca/news/n_0528_e.htm
The previous RCMP national news release (pre-dating election - none had been issued since the start of the election, until now)
http://www.rcmp-grc.gc.ca/news/n_0527_e.htm
The RCMP site for media to download news releases from all RCMP divisions, as well as national releases. Try to find today's!
http://www.rcmp-grc.gc.ca/news/newsroom_e.htm
Posted by: Patrick at December 29, 2005 02:26 AM (u0igE)
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Patrick, what you appear to be suggesting: this letter is a Liberal dirty tricks campaign to use the RCMP and then reveal the invsestigation was a fraud, just to embarass the NDP?
Posted by: john at December 29, 2005 07:52 AM (vBcld)
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Patrick, you are wrong about the RCMP not announcing investigations. Searching for the terms "rcmp announced investigation" on Google brought me several good results right away, including the following:
Tainted blood:
"At the completion of the review process, on February 12, 1998, the RCMP announced that it was launching a full scale criminal investigation into the blood distribution system in Canada."
Adscam:
"Although the offices were raided almost four months after the RCMP announced they had opened a full-fledged criminal investigation into Groupaction sponsorship contracts, it suggests swifter action than in other recent probes into major government scandals."
Nortel:
"The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have launched a criminal investigation into the financial accounting practices of network gear maker Nortel Networks just days before the company is set to release some of its restated financial results."
The timing is terrible for the Liberals. But that's their own fault - certain of them chose, if indeed they are guilty, to initiate a scam in the middle of an election campaign.
Posted by: Ade at December 29, 2005 08:38 AM (4p91Z)
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